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SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.Hold6.4·$25.15+1.37%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Star Bulk Carriers has delivered 4 consecutive earnings beats with a 36% average positive surprise, holds a perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9/9, and converts 162% of net income into free cash flow, but weak price momentum and price near the analyst target limit immediate upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth RateStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 7.2%.

Star Bulk Carriers Corp., a shipping company, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes through the ownership and operation of dry bulk carrier vessels worldwide. Its vessels transport a range of bulk commodities, including iron ores, minerals and grains, bauxite,... Read more

$25.15+7.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.22%
IncomeYield4.10%(5y avg 12.74%)Payout46.40%sustainable
Stop $23.49Target $26.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$30.98+23.2%5 analysts
$26.95our TP
$25.15price
$30.98mean
$33

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 7.2%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.2%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn13.0%
ROE5.8%
Rev Growth21.9%
Beta0.73
Dividend4.10%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV50%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.86Resistance $27.39

Price Targets

$23
$27
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBLK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 7.2%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $26.95 (+7.2%), stop $23.49 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SBLK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.95 (+7.2% upside). Target $26.95 (+7.2%), stop $23.49 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $23.49.

What are the risks of investing in SBLK?

Thin upside margin: 7.2%.

Is SBLK overvalued or undervalued?

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SBLK?

13 analysts cover SBLK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Star Bulk Carriers Corp. do?Star Bulk Carriers Corp., a shipping company, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes through the...

Star Bulk Carriers Corp., a shipping company, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes through the ownership and operation of dry bulk carrier vessels worldwide. Its vessels transport a range of bulk commodities, including iron ores, minerals and grains, bauxite, fertilizers, and steel products. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned a fleet of 136 dry bulk vessels consisting of Newcastlemax, Capesize, Post Panamax, Kamsarmax, Panamax, Ultramax, and Supramax vessels with carrying capacities between 55,569 deadweight tonnage and 209,537 deadweight tonnage. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Marousi, Greece.

Related stocks: NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · ECO (Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc) · PANL (Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd)
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