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SANMSanmina CorporationSell5.4·$219.00-11.12%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sanmina's 102% year-over-year earnings growth and perfect four-quarter beat streak mark an exceptional operational turnaround, but negative free cash flow and non-U.S. geographic concentration introduce execution and currency risks that temper the strength of the fundamental narrative.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Growth Perfect Beat StreakStable
  • Industry Growth Leader RankingStable
  • Geographic Concentration Non UsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sanmina Corporation (SANM) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $219.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Sanmina provides integrated electronics manufacturing services, advanced components, and aftermarket solutions to OEMs across industrial, medical, defense and aerospace, automotive, and communications/cloud markets from facilities in 20 countries with 39,000 employees. Two... Read more

$219.00+27.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.69%
Stop $210.17Target $279.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$223.75+2.2%4 analysts
$279.62our TP
$219.00price
$223.75mean
$185
$280

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $219.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sanmina Corporation

About Sanmina Corporation

Sanmina's Integrated Manufacturing Solutions segment, covering printed circuit board assembly, high-level assembly and test, and direct order fulfillment, generated approximately 80% of total 2025 revenue, with the remaining approximately 20% from the Components, Products and Services segment. The company employs 39,000 people (including 4,000 temporary) across 20 countries on four continents, serving OEMs in industrial, medical, defense and aerospace, automotive, and communications networks and cloud infrastructure markets.

Sanmina generates revenue primarily from manufacturing services provided to OEMs on a customer-order basis, with no firm long-term purchase commitments from customers. The IMS segment serves as the higher-volume base, while CPS — spanning advanced PCBs, backplanes, cable assemblies, fabricated metal parts, precision machined parts, memory modules, optical and RF microelectronic solutions, and defense products through the SCI Technology subsidiary — carries higher margins. Defense capabilities through SCI are subject to ITAR, Export Administration Regulations, and U.S. government cost accounting standards. The company serves cloud service providers and data center operators in a market noted in the 10-K as "highly competitive, particularly in the area of price." Sales to the ten largest customers have historically represented approximately half of net sales. Sanmina operates facilities in lower-cost locations including China, India, Malaysia, Mexico, and Thailand to serve customer cost objectives, though U.S. trade policy has imposed broad tariff increases on components imported from those countries.

Show full overview

Sanmina's defense business carries distinct legal exposure: in 2023 the SCI subsidiary received civil investigative demands from the U.S. Department of Justice related to certain contracts and business activities, and a qui tam lawsuit filed by a former SCI employee was unsealed in 2024. The 10-K notes that a finding of violation could result in civil damages, criminal penalties, or debarment from future U.S. government contracts — a consequence that would remove the defense and aerospace end market from the company's revenue base. Combined with the simultaneous tariff exposure on its non-U.S. manufacturing footprint, these two risk vectors are geographically and legally distinct but both load-bearing.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Sanmina Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations
Target reached (-13.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.6
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$11.8B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn2.3%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth102.3%
Beta1.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV96%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-ten customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our ten largest customers have historically represented approximately half of our net sales'
  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'The substantial majority of our net sales are generated through our non-U.S. operations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved amendment to 2019 Equity Incentive Plan on March 9, 2026 to reserve an additional 1,200,000 shares of Common Stock. Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-12Item 5.07LOW
    2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held March 9, 2026. Eight directors elected; equity plan amendment approved. Routine annual meeting vote submission.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
1.1
Operating Margin
2.3
Roa
3.2
Roe
3.7
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -31% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $216.67Resistance $285.33

Price Targets

$210
$280
A.Upside+27.7%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SANM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $219.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $210.17. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SANM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $279.62 (+27.2% upside). Prior stop was $210.17. Stop-loss: $210.17.

What are the risks of investing in SANM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations; Target reached (-13.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is SANM overvalued or undervalued?

Sanmina Corporation trades at a P/E of 46.6 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SANM?

13 analysts cover SANM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $224.

What does Sanmina Corporation do?Sanmina provides integrated electronics manufacturing services, advanced components, and aftermarket solutions to OEMs...

Sanmina provides integrated electronics manufacturing services, advanced components, and aftermarket solutions to OEMs across industrial, medical, defense and aerospace, automotive, and communications/cloud markets from facilities in 20 countries with 39,000 employees. Two segments — Integrated Manufacturing Solutions (approximately 80% of 2025 revenue) and Components, Products and Services (approximately 20%) — structure its offering from PCB assembly through final system delivery.

Related stocks: FN (Fabrinet) · CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · TEL (TE Connectivity plc) · TTMI (TTM Technologies, Inc.) · JBL (Jabil Inc.)
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