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SABRSabre CorporationHold6.2·$1.66-1.78%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sabre pairs a bullish golden-cross breakout and a cheap growth-adjusted valuation with a flagged earnings-quality concern and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to maintain rather than add to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Valuation Vs GrowthStable
  • Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • Golden Cross BreakoutStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Sabre Corporation (SABR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: small number of airlines; Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Sabre Corporation operates a global business-to-business travel marketplace, Sabre Mosaic Marketplace, connecting airlines, hotels, car rental brands, and other travel suppliers with online and offline travel agencies, travel management companies, and corporate travel... Read more

$1.66+4.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#29 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield21.41%
Stop $1.59Target $1.73(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$1.99+20.0%6 analysts
$1.73our TP
$1.66price
$1.99mean
$2

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: small number of airlines; Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Sabre Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-25T11:07:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: small number of airlines
Thin upside margin: 4.4%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$668M
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.43bearish
IV120%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersmall number of airlines
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business depends on a relatively small number of airlines for a substantial portion of its revenue, and all of our businesses are highly dependent on airline ticket volumes.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmall number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are subject to a certain degree of revenue concentration among a portion of our customer base. Because of this concentration among a small number of customers, if an event were to adversely affect one of these customers, it could have a material impact on our business.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 5.02LOW
    Scott Hortenstine was designated principal accounting officer and VP/Controller effective July 1, 2026, succeeding Jami Kindle, who continues as principal accounting officer through June 30, 2026. Planned, clean transition.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Incentive Compensation Plan and 2026 Director Equity Compensation Plan at the April 29, 2026 Annual Meeting, both effective April 29, 2026. Routine equity-plan approvals; no executive departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.07LOW
    Sabre held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on April 29, 2026, where stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus and Director Equity Compensation Plans among other proposals.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Macd
3.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.8
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 19)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1.64Resistance $2.20

Price Targets

$2
$2
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SABR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: small number of airlines; Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1.73 (+4.2%), stop $1.59 (−4.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SABR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.73 (+4.4% upside). Target $1.73 (+4.2%), stop $1.59 (−4.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $1.59.

What are the risks of investing in SABR?

Concentration risk — Customer: small number of airlines; Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Negative momentum.

Is SABR overvalued or undervalued?

Sabre Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SABR?

12 analysts cover SABR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $2.

What does Sabre Corporation do?Sabre Corporation operates a global business-to-business travel marketplace, Sabre Mosaic Marketplace, connecting...

Sabre Corporation operates a global business-to-business travel marketplace, Sabre Mosaic Marketplace, connecting airlines, hotels, car rental brands, and other travel suppliers with online and offline travel agencies, travel management companies, and corporate travel departments through its global distribution system (GDS). The company also sells SaaS-based airline IT solutions including reservation systems and its SabreMosaic Airline Technology retailing platform, operating as a single reportable segment following the 2025 sale of its Hospitality Solutions business, with 4,650 employees worl

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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga16d ago