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RPCRidgepost Capital, Inc.Hold6.2·$8.42+1.20%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RPC offers a statistically cheap valuation and a strong earnings track record, and the risk-adjusted math points to significant upside, but a confirmed price downtrend and elevated leverage keep the setup a hold rather than an add.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With High AsymmetryStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak SupportImproving
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Ridgepost Capital, Inc. (RPC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025 across Private Equity, Venture Capital, and Private Credit strategies through brands including... Read more

$8.42+36.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#43 of 239 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.71%
IncomeYield1.92%Payout71.43%
Stop $7.83Target $11.47(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$13.50+60.3%4 analysts
$11.47our TP
$8.42price
$13.50mean
$17

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ridgepost Capital, Inc.

About Ridgepost Capital, Inc.

Ridgepost Capital managed $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025, split across three solutions: Private Equity ($17.5 billion FPAUM), Private Credit ($5.1 billion), and Venture Capital ($6.8 billion), grown at an 18% compound annual rate since 2020. The firm employed 326 people, including 137 investment professionals, across 12 U.S. offices in 9 states plus one office in Madrid, Spain, following its 2025 acquisition of European platform Qualitas.

Ridgepost earns recurring management and advisory fees - averaging approximately 1% of average FPAUM - primarily on locked-up committed capital with ten-to-fifteen-year terms, structured across primary investment funds ($15.8 billion FPAUM), direct and co-investment vehicles ($10.6 billion), and secondaries funds ($3.0 billion). Performance fees generated by the underlying vehicles largely flow to Ridgepost's employees rather than accruing to the company itself, so revenue visibility depends on fee-paying AUM growth rather than investment performance. The firm has grown primarily through acquisitions - RCP Advisors, Five Points, TrueBridge, Enhanced Capital, Hark, Bonaccord, WTI, and the 2025 purchase of Madrid-based Qualitas - and announced an agreement in February 2026 to acquire Stellus Capital Management, expected to close mid-2026, which would add a direct-lending franchise to the platform.

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Ridgepost's revenue carries structural fee-continuation risk: commingled fund advisory agreements can be terminated for cause or by a super-majority of investors without cause, and a change of control at the parent would require investor or client consent to continue existing fund and separate-account management agreements. Governance control sits separately from that economic risk - Class B common stockholders, who convert to Class A on a one-for-one basis, held approximately 80% of the combined voting power as of the filing date, with a scheduled Sunset provision that would end this dual-class structure no later than October 20, 2031.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Ridgepost Capital, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Ridgepost Capital, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-25T14:12:24Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.1
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$927M
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE7.2%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta0.88
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductPES60%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, PES has raised over $24 billion assets under management ("AUM"), of which $17.5 billion are FPAUM.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
3.0
Support Resistance
3.1
52w Position
3.1
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.30Resistance $8.92

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+36.3%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts9
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$14

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $11.47 (+36.2%), stop $7.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.47 (+36.3% upside). Target $11.47 (+36.2%), stop $7.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $7.83.

What are the risks of investing in RPC?

Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is RPC overvalued or undervalued?

Ridgepost Capital, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.1 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RPC?

9 analysts cover RPC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Ridgepost Capital, Inc. do?Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion...

Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025 across Private Equity, Venture Capital, and Private Credit strategies through brands including RCP Advisors, TrueBridge, Bonaccord, and Qualitas. The company earns recurring management and advisory fees, averaging about 1% of FPAUM, from a global investor base of over 5,000 institutional and high-net-worth investors, with committed capital typically locked up for ten to fifteen years.

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