Skip to main content
RPCRidgepost Capital, Inc.Hold6.4·$8.70-2.90%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RPC offers a statistically cheap valuation and a strong earnings track record, and the risk-adjusted math points to significant upside, but a confirmed price downtrend and elevated leverage keep the setup a hold rather than an add.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With High AsymmetryStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak SupportDeteriorating
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ridgepost Capital, Inc. (RPC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025 across Private Equity, Venture Capital, and Private Credit strategies through brands including... Read more

$8.70+26.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#34 of 235 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.39%
IncomeYield1.81%Payout63.54%
Stop $8.11Target $11.05(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$13.00+49.4%4 analysts
$11.05our TP
$8.70price
$13.00mean
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ridgepost Capital, Inc.

About Ridgepost Capital, Inc.

Ridgepost Capital managed $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025, split across three solutions: Private Equity ($17.5 billion FPAUM), Private Credit ($5.1 billion), and Venture Capital ($6.8 billion), grown at an 18% compound annual rate since 2020. The firm employed 326 people, including 137 investment professionals, across 12 U.S. offices in 9 states plus one office in Madrid, Spain, following its 2025 acquisition of European platform Qualitas.

Ridgepost earns recurring management and advisory fees - averaging approximately 1% of average FPAUM - primarily on locked-up committed capital with ten-to-fifteen-year terms, structured across primary investment funds ($15.8 billion FPAUM), direct and co-investment vehicles ($10.6 billion), and secondaries funds ($3.0 billion). Performance fees generated by the underlying vehicles largely flow to Ridgepost's employees rather than accruing to the company itself, so revenue visibility depends on fee-paying AUM growth rather than investment performance. The firm has grown primarily through acquisitions - RCP Advisors, Five Points, TrueBridge, Enhanced Capital, Hark, Bonaccord, WTI, and the 2025 purchase of Madrid-based Qualitas - and announced an agreement in February 2026 to acquire Stellus Capital Management, expected to close mid-2026, which would add a direct-lending franchise to the platform.

Show full overview

Ridgepost's revenue carries structural fee-continuation risk: commingled fund advisory agreements can be terminated for cause or by a super-majority of investors without cause, and a change of control at the parent would require investor or client consent to continue existing fund and separate-account management agreements. Governance control sits separately from that economic risk - Class B common stockholders, who convert to Class A on a one-for-one basis, held approximately 80% of the combined voting power as of the filing date, with a scheduled Sunset provision that would end this dual-class structure no later than October 20, 2031.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Ridgepost Capital, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 27%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.3
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$988M
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE7.1%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta0.87
Dividend1.81%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.00bearish
IV123%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductPES60%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, PES has raised over $24 billion assets under management ("AUM"), of which $17.5 billion are FPAUM.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.13Resistance $9.51

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+26.7%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts9
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$13

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $11.05 (+27.0%), stop $8.11 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.05 (+26.7% upside). Target $11.05 (+27.0%), stop $8.11 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $8.11.

What are the risks of investing in RPC?

Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is RPC overvalued or undervalued?

Ridgepost Capital, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RPC?

9 analysts cover RPC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Ridgepost Capital, Inc. do?Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion...

Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025 across Private Equity, Venture Capital, and Private Credit strategies through brands including RCP Advisors, TrueBridge, Bonaccord, and Qualitas. The company earns recurring management and advisory fees, averaging about 1% of FPAUM, from a global investor base of over 5,000 institutional and high-net-worth investors, with committed capital typically locked up for ten to fifteen years.

Related stocks: HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) · PML (Pimco Municipal Income Fund II ) · AOD (Aberdeen Total Dynamic Dividend) · VCTR (Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ) · TWN (Taiwan Fund, Inc. (The))
Home Stocks RPC

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance16d ago
Seeking Alpha9d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance9d agoEarnings
TipRanks9d ago
Yahoo Finance9d ago
Marketscreener.com9d agoEarnings
TradingView10d ago
Tradingview.com10d ago
TradingView17d ago
Yahoo Finance10d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance15d ago
Investing.com15d ago
Dars.gov.et16d ago
MarketBeat16d ago
Dars.gov.et20d ago
Dars.gov.et13d ago
Simplywall.st14d ago
Simplywall.st7d ago
Benzinga4d agoAnalyst