RPC offers a statistically cheap valuation and a strong earnings track record, and the risk-adjusted math points to significant upside, but a confirmed price downtrend and elevated leverage keep the setup a hold rather than an add.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value With High Asymmetry→Stable
- Earnings Beat Streak Support↓Deteriorating
- Confirmed Price Downtrend→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026
Ridgepost Capital, Inc. (RPC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Financial Services · Asset Management
Wait for pullback to $8.90. At $9.22 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $8.90 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.
Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025 across Private Equity, Venture Capital, and Private Credit strategies through brands including... Read more
Wait for pullback to $8.90. At $9.22 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $8.90 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
About Ridgepost Capital, Inc.
About Ridgepost Capital, Inc.
Ridgepost Capital managed $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025, split across three solutions: Private Equity ($17.5 billion FPAUM), Private Credit ($5.1 billion), and Venture Capital ($6.8 billion), grown at an 18% compound annual rate since 2020. The firm employed 326 people, including 137 investment professionals, across 12 U.S. offices in 9 states plus one office in Madrid, Spain, following its 2025 acquisition of European platform Qualitas.
Ridgepost earns recurring management and advisory fees - averaging approximately 1% of average FPAUM - primarily on locked-up committed capital with ten-to-fifteen-year terms, structured across primary investment funds ($15.8 billion FPAUM), direct and co-investment vehicles ($10.6 billion), and secondaries funds ($3.0 billion). Performance fees generated by the underlying vehicles largely flow to Ridgepost's employees rather than accruing to the company itself, so revenue visibility depends on fee-paying AUM growth rather than investment performance. The firm has grown primarily through acquisitions - RCP Advisors, Five Points, TrueBridge, Enhanced Capital, Hark, Bonaccord, WTI, and the 2025 purchase of Madrid-based Qualitas - and announced an agreement in February 2026 to acquire Stellus Capital Management, expected to close mid-2026, which would add a direct-lending franchise to the platform.
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Ridgepost's revenue carries structural fee-continuation risk: commingled fund advisory agreements can be terminated for cause or by a super-majority of investors without cause, and a change of control at the parent would require investor or client consent to continue existing fund and separate-account management agreements. Governance control sits separately from that economic risk - Class B common stockholders, who convert to Class A on a one-for-one basis, held approximately 80% of the combined voting power as of the filing date, with a scheduled Sunset provision that would end this dual-class structure no later than October 20, 2031.
See also: Financial Services · Asset Management
From Ridgepost Capital, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-11-02Recent Developments — Ridgepost Capital, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Ridgepost Capital, Inc. (RPC) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Ridgepost Capital, Inc. (RPC) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher? - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Ridgepost Capital, Inc. (RPC) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Ridgepost Capital, Inc 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:RPC) 2026-08-05 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Ridgepost Capital, Inc. (RPC) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-11-02T11:33:17Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductPES60%10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, PES has raised over $24 billion assets under management ("AUM"), of which $17.5 billion are FPAUM.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $8.90. At $9.22 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $8.90 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $10.84 (+17.6%), stop $8.28 (−11.4%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $10.84 (+17.5% upside). Target $10.84 (+17.6%), stop $8.28 (−11.4%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $8.28.
Concentration risk — Product: PES (59.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.
Ridgepost Capital, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.4 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
8 analysts cover RPC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.
What does Ridgepost Capital, Inc. do?Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion...
Ridgepost Capital (formerly P10, Inc.) is a multi-asset-class private markets solutions provider managing $29.4 billion in fee-paying assets under management as of December 31, 2025 across Private Equity, Venture Capital, and Private Credit strategies through brands including RCP Advisors, TrueBridge, Bonaccord, and Qualitas. The company earns recurring management and advisory fees, averaging about 1% of FPAUM, from a global investor base of over 5,000 institutional and high-net-worth investors, with committed capital typically locked up for ten to fifteen years.