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ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.Sell4.3·$35.76+1.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Roivant Sciences is a clinical-stage biopharma holding company with its entire near-term value concentrated in brepocitinib and a HanAll Biopharma partnership, currently burning cash at 13,202% of revenue while showing improving earnings beat trends and analyst consensus implying 30% upside from current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Pipeline Concentration BrepocitinibStable
  • Cash Burn Quality FloorStable
  • Improving Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Roivant Sciences Ltd. (ROIV) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.76: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.91; Below-average business quality.

Roivant Sciences is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops medicines through subsidiary 'Vant' entities each focused on specific programs. The lead asset, brepocitinib (JAK1/TYK2 inhibitor), has an FDA PDUFA date in 3Q 2026 for dermatomyositis; IMVT-1402, an... Read more

$35.76-0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#211 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-4.32%
Stop $33.01Target $35.18(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$39.04+9.2%12 analysts
$35.18our TP
$35.76price
$39.04mean
$32
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.76: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.91; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Roivant Sciences Ltd.

About Roivant Sciences Ltd.

Roivant Sciences' most advanced asset, brepocitinib, received FDA Priority Review with a PDUFA target action date in 3Q 2026 for dermatomyositis—the company's first potential commercial product. As of March 31, 2026, Roivant held $4.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, with no commercial-stage products and an accumulated deficit of approximately $501.8 million. The company operates through subsidiary Vants including Priovant (72% owned), Immunovant (56% owned, publicly traded), and Pulmovant (97% owned).

Roivant earns no product revenue, funding operations entirely from its balance sheet while advancing three core programs. Priovant develops brepocitinib under a license from Pfizer that carries tiered sub-teens royalties on net sales and a mid-tens-of-millions sales milestone if annual net sales exceed a mid-hundreds-of-millions threshold. Immunovant develops IMVT-1402 (imeroprubart) under a license from HanAll Biopharma Co., Ltd. with milestones up to $420 million and tiered mid-single-digit to mid-teens royalties; Phase 2/3 trials are ongoing in Graves' disease, myasthenia gravis, Sjögren's disease, chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy, difficult-to-treat rheumatoid arthritis, and cutaneous lupus erythematosus. Pulmovant develops mosliciguat under a license from Bayer with milestones up to $280 million and tiered high-single-digit royalties. The company also holds an 83% stake in Genevant, which announced a $2.25 billion settlement with Moderna in patent-infringement litigation, with $950 million payable to Genevant and Arbutus in July 2026.

Show full overview

Brepocitinib's 3Q 2026 FDA decision on dermatomyositis represents the most immediate binary catalyst, but multiple readouts cluster in 2H 2026: NIU topline data from the Phase 3 CLARITY study, mosliciguat Phase 2 data from the PHocus trial in pulmonary hypertension associated with interstitial lung disease, and IMVT-1402 data in cutaneous lupus erythematosus. The HanAll Agreement governing IMVT-1402 rights at Immunovant introduces a separate dependency: the 10-K notes that Immunovant's April 2026 decision to discontinue batoclimab development could prompt a dispute with HanAll, potentially affecting the broader anti-FcRn program.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Roivant Sciences Ltd.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Roivant Sciences Ltd.

Generated 2026-07-07T13:21:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: brepocitinib
Concentration risk — Counterparty: HanAll Biopharma
Target reached (-4.0% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-22.5
Mkt Cap$25.3B
EV/EBITDA-17.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-7.6%
Rev Growth-66.7%
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C10.91bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$20-44.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinebrepocitinib
    10-K Item 1: 'Priovant's filing for use of brepocitinib in DM has been accepted by the FDA with Priority Review with a PDUFA target action date in the third quarter of calendar year 2026'
  • HIGHcounterpartyHanAll Biopharma
    10-K Item 1A: 'Immunovant holds the intellectual property rights to IMVT-1402 and batoclimab under a license agreement with HanAll Biopharma Co., Ltd.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -13202% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
91 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.29Resistance $35.90

Price Targets

$33
$35
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.05% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROIV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.76: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.91; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $33.01. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROIV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.18 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $33.01. Stop-loss: $33.01.

What are the risks of investing in ROIV?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: brepocitinib; Concentration risk — Counterparty: HanAll Biopharma; Target reached (-4.0% upside).

Is ROIV overvalued or undervalued?

Roivant Sciences Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROIV?

19 analysts cover ROIV with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Roivant Sciences Ltd. do?Roivant Sciences is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops medicines through subsidiary 'Vant'...

Roivant Sciences is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops medicines through subsidiary 'Vant' entities each focused on specific programs. The lead asset, brepocitinib (JAK1/TYK2 inhibitor), has an FDA PDUFA date in 3Q 2026 for dermatomyositis; IMVT-1402, an anti-FcRn antibody developed at Immunovant (56% owned), is in multiple Phase 2/3 trials. As of March 31, 2026, the company held $4.3 billion in cash with no commercial products.

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