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RNSTRenasant CorporationSell6.4·$41.89-0.57%
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Renasant Corporation (RNST) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $41.89, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%).

Renasant Corporation operates Renasant Bank through 277 offices across the Southeast following its April 2025 acquisition of The First Bancshares, with a Community Banks segment generating approximately 81.1% of total gross revenues. The Wealth Management segment produced $35.5... Read more

$41.89+1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#20 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.28%(5y avg 2.63%)Payout38.14%sustainable
Stop $39.91Target $42.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$45.57+8.8%7 analysts
$42.38our TP
$41.89price
$45.57mean
$47

Sell if holding. At $41.89, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Renasant Corporation

Generated 2026-06-17T10:36:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.9
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth60.2%
Beta0.99
Dividend2.28%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$40-4.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioC&I, construction and commercial real estate loans75%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 75.10% of our loan portfolio consisted of C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate non-owner occupied loans33%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our commercial real estate - non-owner occupied loans represented approximately 32.79% of our total loans at December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate collateral85%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 84.64% of our loan portfolio had real estate as a primary or secondary component of the collateral securing the loan'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    On March 11, 2026, Renasant Bank amended M. Ray (Hoppy) Cole Jr.'s employment agreement to align his Performance Based Rewards Plan bonus eligibility to a calendar year basis consistent with other senior executives. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.04Resistance $43.25

Price Targets

$40
$42
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $41.89, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $39.91. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.38 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $39.91. Stop-loss: $39.91.

What are the risks of investing in RNST?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RNST overvalued or undervalued?

Renasant Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RNST?

13 analysts cover RNST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Renasant Corporation do?Renasant Corporation operates Renasant Bank through 277 offices across the Southeast following its April 2025...

Renasant Corporation operates Renasant Bank through 277 offices across the Southeast following its April 2025 acquisition of The First Bancshares, with a Community Banks segment generating approximately 81.1% of total gross revenues. The Wealth Management segment produced $35.5 million in revenue (2.4% of total) in 2025.

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