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RMDResMed Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$195.27+1.76%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ResMed is a wide-moat medical devices company with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, 25% return on equity, and four consecutive earnings beats, currently experiencing a technical downtrend that creates an accumulation opportunity for investors with a 12-to-18 month horizon.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Technical Downtrend Accumulation WindowDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ResMed Inc. (RMD) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Wait for pullback to $191.10. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $195.27. Engine's entry $191.10 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

ResMed develops and sells medical devices and cloud software for sleep apnea, COPD, and respiratory disease, plus residential care management software for HME providers and post-acute care settings. The company employs more than 10,600 people and sells in more than 140... Read more

$195.27+14.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#5 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.11%
IncomeYield1.25%(5y avg 0.85%)Payout22.47%sustainable
Entry $191.10(support + ATR (held))Stop $177.86Target $223.74(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$248.60+27.3%15 analysts
$223.74our TP
$195.27price
$248.60mean
$180
$325

Wait for pullback to $191.10. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $195.27. Engine's entry $191.10 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ResMed Inc.

About ResMed Inc.

ResMed's CPAP, bilevel (AirCurve 11 Series), and ventilation products serve more than 30 million patients across 140-plus countries through the cloud-connected AirView platform, with over 10 million patients registered on the myAir app. The company operates two segments — Sleep and Breathing Health, and Residential Care Software — with combined Europe, Asia, and other international sales representing approximately 36% of net revenues in fiscal year ended June 30, 2025. In May 2025, ResMed acquired VirtuOx, an independent diagnostic testing facility for in-home sleep and respiratory testing.

Sleep and Breathing Health revenue derives from CPAP and bilevel device sales, masks, accessories, high-flow therapy devices, non-invasive ventilators, and connected software — sold through DME/HME providers, sleep clinics, and physicians. Residential Care Software generates subscription and maintenance fees from HME, home infusion, home health and hospice, skilled nursing, and senior living providers; those platforms support more than 160 million individual patient accounts. ResMed manufactures substantially all products outside the U.S., with supply chains subject to tariff escalation that the 10-K says 'could have a material adverse effect' if U.S.-imposed and retaliatory tariffs expand. Government and private payor reimbursement rates — particularly Medicare and Medicaid coverage policies for home respiratory equipment — are a primary demand driver. Philips remains a named competitor operating under a U.S. consent decree following its CPAP recall, with ResMed noting it cannot predict the 'timing or nature of their substantial return.'

Show full overview

Competitive displacement could affect the Sleep and Breathing Health segment from two independent vectors. Philips's return from consent-decree-limited U.S. operations could restore a major competitor that has been absent from flow generator sales. Separately, GLP-1 drugs approved for diabetes and weight loss are explicitly cited in the 10-K as potentially reducing OSA prevalence through obesity management, which may impact long-term device demand if adoption proves broad. In April 2026, CFO Brett Sandercock announced retirement via Form 8-K, with Aaron Bloomer — formerly EVP and CFO of Exact Sciences — appointed as successor effective May 4, 2026.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From ResMed Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — ResMed Inc.

Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:05Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Positive insider activity
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$28.3B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn27.4%
ROE25.2%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta0.78
Dividend1.25%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $190.21Resistance $222.43

Price Targets

$178
$191
$224
A.Upside+14.6%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.7%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RMD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $191.10. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $195.27. Engine's entry $191.10 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $223.74 (+14.6%), stop $177.86 (−9.8%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $223.74 (+14.6% upside). Target $223.74 (+14.6%), stop $177.86 (−9.8%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $177.86.

What are the risks of investing in RMD?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is RMD overvalued or undervalued?

ResMed Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RMD?

25 analysts cover RMD with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $249.

What does ResMed Inc. do?ResMed develops and sells medical devices and cloud software for sleep apnea, COPD, and respiratory disease, plus...

ResMed develops and sells medical devices and cloud software for sleep apnea, COPD, and respiratory disease, plus residential care management software for HME providers and post-acute care settings. The company employs more than 10,600 people and sells in more than 140 countries, with approximately 64% of net revenues from the U.S. in fiscal year 2025. More than 30 million patients use cloud-connected devices via the AirView platform.

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