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RMDResMed Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$228.50-1.03%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ResMed is a wide-moat medical devices company with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, 25% return on equity, and four consecutive earnings beats, currently experiencing a technical downtrend that creates an accumulation opportunity for investors with a 12-to-18 month horizon.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Technical Downtrend Accumulation WindowDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ResMed Inc. (RMD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Wait for pullback to $213.55. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $228.50. Engine's entry $213.55 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

ResMed designs and manufactures digital health technologies and cloud-connected medical devices — including CPAP, bilevel, and ventilation systems — to treat sleep apnea, COPD, and other chronic respiratory diseases, across two segments: Sleep and Breathing Health and... Read more

$228.50-3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 30 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.84%
IncomeYield1.14%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout23.01%sustainable
Entry $213.55(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $200.85Target $237.55(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$246.25+7.8%16 analysts
$237.55our TP
$228.50price
$246.25mean
$175
$320

Wait for pullback to $213.55. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $228.50. Engine's entry $213.55 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ResMed Inc.

About ResMed Inc.

ResMed operates two segments, Sleep and Breathing Health and Residential Care Software, selling cloud-connected devices such as CPAP and AirCurve 11 Series bilevel systems alongside patient-engagement software including myAir and AirView. The installed base spans more than 30 million AirView patients and more than 10 million myAir users, while Residential Care Software supports more than 160 million patient accounts. Sales outside the U.S. represented approximately 36% of net revenue in both fiscal 2025 and 2024.

ResMed generates revenue primarily through device sales — CPAP, bilevel, high-flow therapy, and ventilator systems along with masks, headgear, and accessories — distributed through wholly owned subsidiaries and independent distributors to dealers of home healthcare products, sleep clinics, and physicians, supplemented by recurring cloud-services and software revenue from its Residential Care Software platforms serving HME, home infusion, skilled nursing, senior living, and hospice providers. The company manufactures substantially all of its products outside the United States while selling into more than 140 countries, and it depends on third-party and government payors, including Medicare and international reimbursement schemes, to cover patient therapy costs. Growth investments include the April 2025 nationwide rollout of its NightOwl home sleep apnea test and the May 2025 acquisition of VirtuOx, an independent diagnostic testing facility that expands ResMed's in-home diagnostics and patient-monitoring capabilities.

Show full overview

A structural exposure sits outside the product portfolio: ResMed manufactures substantially all of its products outside the United States even as sales remain majority U.S.-sourced, leaving the company's cost base tied to newly imposed and threatened U.S. tariffs on a wide variety of imported goods, plus retaliatory tariffs other countries have imposed or are considering on U.S. exports. The 10-K also flags the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act's import restrictions and potential supply disruption tied to the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Iran conflicts as risks to its suppliers' ability to source raw materials, though it states combined device sales into Iran, Russia, and Ukraine were not material to fiscal 2025 revenue.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From ResMed Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 23, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$33.1B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn26.9%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.14%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.86bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope, Asia and other regions36%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales in combined Europe, Asia and other regions accounted for approximately 36% and 36% of our net revenues in the ... years ended June 30, 2025 and June 30, 2024, respectively.'
  • HIGHGeographicmanufacturing outside the U.S.
    10-K Item 1A: 'We manufacture substantially all of our products outside the U.S.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Brett Sandercock retires effective May 4, 2026, becoming Special Advisor through 2027; succeeded by Aaron Bloomer (ex-Exact Sciences CFO). No disagreement with the company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
4.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $201.42Resistance $242.40

Price Targets

$201
$214
$238
A.Upside-3.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.3% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RMD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $213.55. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $228.50. Engine's entry $213.55 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $237.55 (+4.0%), stop $200.85 (−13.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $237.55 (-3.3% upside). Target $237.55 (+4.0%), stop $200.85 (−13.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $200.85.

What are the risks of investing in RMD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is RMD overvalued or undervalued?

ResMed Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RMD?

27 analysts cover RMD with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $246.

What does ResMed Inc. do?ResMed designs and manufactures digital health technologies and cloud-connected medical devices — including CPAP,...

ResMed designs and manufactures digital health technologies and cloud-connected medical devices — including CPAP, bilevel, and ventilation systems — to treat sleep apnea, COPD, and other chronic respiratory diseases, across two segments: Sleep and Breathing Health and Residential Care Software. The company employs more than 10,600 people, sells in more than 140 countries, and supports an installed base of more than 30 million cloud-connected patients.

Related stocks: TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · ISRG (Intuitive Surgical, Inc.) · MMED (MiniMed Group, Inc.)
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