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ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.Hold6.1·$417.01+0.11%
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Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $417.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole- and single-sourced suppliers; Expensive valuation.

Intuitive Surgical makes the da Vinci robotic surgical platform (five active generations, including the da Vinci 5) and the Ion lung-biopsy system, sold to hospitals globally. Revenue spans system sales, recurring per-procedure instruments and accessories, and service contracts;... Read more

$417.01+21.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 26 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.53%
Stop $394.45Target $508.57(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$565.08+35.5%29 analysts
$508.57our TP
$417.01price
$565.08mean
$366
$750

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $417.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole- and single-sourced suppliers; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Intuitive Surgical, Inc.

About Intuitive Surgical, Inc.

Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci platform — spanning five active generations including the recently launched da Vinci 5 with force-feedback technology — and the Ion endoluminal lung-biopsy system (FDA-cleared 2019) generated revenue with OUS markets contributing approximately 32% in 2025 (33% in 2024, 34% in 2023). Intuitive first received FDA clearance for general laparoscopic surgery in 2000; the company maintains field service coverage across the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Asia.

Intuitive generates revenue through three streams: upfront system sales, recurring per-procedure instruments and accessories, and multi-year service contracts. The instrument model creates recurring demand because programmed chips inside each da Vinci instrument enforce usage limits — restricting each instrument to a defined number of procedures — requiring hospitals to reorder. The filing notes that substantially all customers have sourced services from Intuitive rather than third-party providers. Manufacturing of instruments and accessories takes place primarily in Mexico, exposing the company to tariff risk; during 2025, the U.S. government imposed new tariffs on imports from Mexico, Germany, and China. In China, an anti-corruption campaign targeting healthcare launched in July 2023, combined with domestic competition, contributed to fewer system placements in 2025 than anticipated. Competitors named in the filing include Johnson & Johnson, Medtronic, and CMR Surgical.

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Certain components for Intuitive's systems are sourced exclusively from sole-sourced or single-sourced suppliers, with purchases through standard purchase orders rather than long-term agreements. In 2025, China announced export controls and licensing requirements on rare earth elements critical to certain Intuitive components — China being a predominant producer — which may require export licenses and could cause supply disruptions. Any sole-source component substitution additionally requires regulatory re-verification, a time-consuming process the 10-K identifies as a potential manufacturing delay. Tariffs on Mexico imports may further pressure gross margins on the instrument and accessories revenue stream.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Intuitive Surgical, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 28, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Henry Charlton transitions from Chief Commercial and Marketing Officer to SVP of Global Business Operations effective July 1, 2026. Taylor Patton named successor as Chief Commercial and Marketing Officer.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole- and single-sourced suppliers
Expensive valuation
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.5
P/E (Fwd)35.3
Mkt Cap$147.5B
EV/EBITDA36.8
Profit Mgn28.2%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta1.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts40

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.28bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$900+115.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicOUS markets32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenue from OUS markets accounted for approximately 32%, 33%, and 34% of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHSuppliersole- and single-sourced suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Some of the components necessary for the assembly of our products are currently provided to us by sole-sourced suppliers or single-sourced suppliers'
  • MEDIUMGeographicMexico manufacturing
    10-K Item 1A: 'potential tariffs on goods imported from Mexico where we manufacture a significant majority of our instruments and accessories that we sell'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Henry Charlton transitions from Chief Commercial and Marketing Officer to SVP of Global Business Operations effective July 1, 2026. Taylor Patton named successor as Chief Commercial and Marketing Officer.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved amendment to the 2010 Incentive Award Plan at the April 30, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing reserved shares from 120,350,000 to 125,350,000 and extending the plan term to January 29, 2036.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.7
Pe
2.5
Forward Pe
3.0
Peg Ratio
4.3
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 35.3xPEG: 2.18
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $396.68Resistance $449.77

Price Targets

$394
$509
A.Upside+22.0%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts40
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$565

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ISRG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $417.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole- and single-sourced suppliers; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $508.57 (+22.0%), stop $394.45 (−5.7%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ISRG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $508.57 (+21.9% upside). Target $508.57 (+22.0%), stop $394.45 (−5.7%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Stop-loss: $394.45.

What are the risks of investing in ISRG?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole- and single-sourced suppliers; Expensive valuation; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ISRG overvalued or undervalued?

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. trades at a P/E of 50.5 (forward 35.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ISRG?

40 analysts cover ISRG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $565.

What does Intuitive Surgical, Inc. do?Intuitive Surgical makes the da Vinci robotic surgical platform (five active generations, including the da Vinci 5) and...

Intuitive Surgical makes the da Vinci robotic surgical platform (five active generations, including the da Vinci 5) and the Ion lung-biopsy system, sold to hospitals globally. Revenue spans system sales, recurring per-procedure instruments and accessories, and service contracts; OUS markets contributed approximately 32% of 2025 revenue.

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