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RIGLRigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Buy Wait6.1·$38.75+1.20%
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Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RIGL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $37.00. At $38.75 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $37.00 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops and provides therapies that enhance the lives of patients with hematologic disorders and cancer in the United States. The company offers TAVALISSE, an oral spleen tyrosine kinase inhibitor for the treatment of adult... Read more

$38.75+27.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#23 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.97%
Entry $37.00(1 ATR pullback)Stop $34.41Target $47.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$54.20+39.9%5 analysts
$47.15our TP
$38.75price
$54.20mean
$81

Wait for pullback to $37.00. At $38.75 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $37.00 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.0
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$716M
EV/EBITDA4.8
Profit Mgn121.5%
ROE174.1%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV85%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
4.8
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.61Resistance $40.33

Price Targets

$34
$37
$47
A.Upside+21.7%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 8x vs trail 2x (4.0x)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RIGL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $37.00. At $38.75 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $37.00 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $47.15 (+21.7%), stop $34.41 (−12.6%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RIGL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.15 (+27.4% upside). Target $47.15 (+21.7%), stop $34.41 (−12.6%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $34.41.

What are the risks of investing in RIGL?

Earnings expected to decline ~75% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is RIGL overvalued or undervalued?

Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 2.0 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RIGL?

11 analysts cover RIGL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops and provides therapies that enhance the lives of...

Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops and provides therapies that enhance the lives of patients with hematologic disorders and cancer in the United States. The company offers TAVALISSE, an oral spleen tyrosine kinase inhibitor for the treatment of adult patients with chronic immune thrombocytopenia; REZLIDHIA, a non-intensive monotherapy to treat adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with a susceptible isocitrate dehydrogenase-1 (IDH1) mutation as detected by an FDA-approved test; and GAVRETO, a once daily, small molecule, oral, kinase inhibitor for the treatment of adult patients with metastatic rearranged during transfection (RET) fusion-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), as well as to treat adult and pediatric patients twelve years of age and older with advanced or metastatic RET fusion-positive thyroid cancer. It also develops R289, an oral interleukin receptor-associated kinases 1 and 4 (IRAK1/4) inhibitor, which is being advanced to Phase 1b study for the treatment of hematology-oncology, autoimmune, and inflammatory diseases, as well as to treat lower-risk myelodysplastic syndrome. The company has strategic development collaboration with The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC) for the development of olutasidenib in AML and other hematologic cancers with IDH1mutations; and the Collaborative Network for Neuro-Oncology Clinical Trial (CONNECT) to conduct a Phase 2 clinical trial to evaluate olutasidenib in combination with temozolomide in patients with high-grade glioma harboring an IDH1 mutation. Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

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