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RHIRobert Half Inc.Sell5.2·$43.22-1.28%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Robert Half faces severe pressure from 29% short interest, a put/call ratio of 4.40, declining revenue at -4%, and the stock trading 18.9% above analyst consensus targets, making the current risk profile unattractive despite consistent earnings beats.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat In DownturnStable
  • Dividend Yield SupportStable
  • Extreme Bearish Options PositioningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Robert Half Inc. (RHI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.22: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality.

Legal provides legal contract talent, including attorneys and paralegal professionals. The legal profession's requirements (the need for confidentiality, accuracy and reliability, a strong drive toward cost-effectiveness, and frequent peak caseload periods) are similar to the... Read more

$43.22-29.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#4 of 9 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.57%
IncomeYield5.46%(5y avg 3.51%)Payout205.22%at-risk
Stop $40.19Target $49.70(default +15%)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$35.00-19.0%9 analysts
$49.70our TP
$43.22price
$35.00mean
$20
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.22: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — Robert Half Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Aug 3, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Item 7.01 | Regulation FD Disclosures. On August 3, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the leadership change described above. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated int [... truncated]

Generated 2026-08-16T15:22:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-29.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.6
P/E (Fwd)22.0
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA69.7
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth-2.4%
Beta0.77
Dividend5.46%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV67%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Item 7.01 | Regulation FD Disclosures. On August 3, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the leadership change described above. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated int [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Roa
0.2
Net Margin
1.1
Roe
3.0
Gross Margin
3.4
Current Ratio
5.4
Moat
5.4
Fcf Quality
6.9
Piotroski F
7.8
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.77Resistance $44.47

Price Targets

$40
$50
A.Upside-29.5%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RHI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.22: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $40.19. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RHI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.70 (-29.5% upside). Prior stop was $40.19. Stop-loss: $40.19.

What are the risks of investing in RHI?

Target reached (-29.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is RHI overvalued or undervalued?

Robert Half Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.6 (forward 22.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RHI?

19 analysts cover RHI with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Robert Half Inc. do?Legal provides legal contract talent, including attorneys and paralegal professionals. The legal profession's...

Legal provides legal contract talent, including attorneys and paralegal professionals. The legal profession's requirements (the need for confidentiality, accuracy and reliability, a strong drive toward cost-effectiveness, and frequent peak caseload periods) are similar to the demands of Finance and Accounting clients.

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