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PRAAPRA Group, Inc.Sell6.2·$19.01+1.39%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PRAA combines a strong recent earnings beat streak and a cheap forward multiple with value-trap warning signs, including elevated leverage, negative free cash flow, and an overbought technical read, that argue the discount may be structural rather than a clear opportunity.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Cheap MultipleStable
  • Strong Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Value Trap Leverage RiskImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PRA Group, Inc. (PRAA) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.01 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

PRA Group is a global specialty finance company that purchases, collects, and manages nonperforming consumer loan portfolios, primarily credit card, consumer, and auto loans sold by banks and other creditors, with operations across the U.S. and 12 European countries plus smaller... Read more

$19.01+16.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#11 of 35 Credit Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-18.33%
Stop $17.71Target $22.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$26.00+36.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.01 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About PRA Group, Inc.

About PRA Group, Inc.

PRA Group generated 43% of its 2025 portfolio income from international operations spanning 12 European countries, South America, Canada, and Australia, with the remainder from its newly separated U.S. reportable segment; the company reorganized from a single operating segment into U.S. and European segments during the fourth quarter of 2025. PRA Group employed 2,615 full-time equivalents as of December 31, 2025, with 60% based in the U.S., 35% in Europe, and 5% in other markets.

PRA Group buys nonperforming Core and Insolvency loan portfolios, primarily credit cards, consumer loans, auto loans, and small business loans, from banks, consumer finance companies, and auto lenders, either through one-off spot sales or forward flow agreements that lock in periodic purchases at a negotiated price for six to twelve months. Collections are driven by internal call centers (with roughly one-third of U.S. call capacity now offshored), external collection agencies, digital self-service channels, and legal recovery through court judgments, which the company describes as generating a significant portion of its revenue. Insolvency accounts are managed through country-specific frameworks such as UK Individual Voluntary Arrangements, Canadian Consumer Proposals, and U.S., German, and UK bankruptcy codes, typically under payment plans running three to seven years. In the U.S., PRA Group is supervised primarily by the CFPB, while its European operations answer to regulators including the UK Financial Conduct Authority, Sweden's Financial Supervisory Authority, Germany's BaFin, the Bank of Italy, and Poland's Financial Supervision Authority.

Show full overview

PRA Group's own balance sheet flagged a valuation warning in 2025: a sustained decline in its stock price and market capitalization triggered an interim goodwill impairment test as of September 30, 2025, resulting in a full write-off of the $412.6 million of goodwill carried in the company's Debt Buying and Collection reporting unit, driven by a lower terminal-value assumption and a higher discount rate than used in the prior annual test. Only $26.9 million of goodwill remained on the balance sheet as of December 31, 2025, attributable to the company's smaller class action claims recoveries reporting unit, meaning essentially all of the acquisition-related goodwill tied to PRA Group's core debt-purchasing business has now been eliminated, removing a cushion that could have otherwise absorbed a future markdown.

See also: Financial Services · Credit Services

From PRA Group, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$706M
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn-19.9%
ROE-20.2%
Rev Growth29.4%
Beta1.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV86%elevated
Max Pain$25+31.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations43%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are a global business with operations in 18 countries. In 2025, our international operations represented 43% of our total portfolio income.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-23Item 5.02LOW
    At the June 16, 2026 Annual Meeting, stockholders approved amending the 2022 Omnibus Incentive Plan to increase its share limit by 3,500,000 shares. Routine compensatory plan amendment, not a departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-23Item 5.07LOW
    At the June 16, 2026 Annual Meeting, stockholders voted on director elections and the equity plan amendment. Routine annual meeting vote results.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.26Resistance $21.49

Price Targets

$18
$22
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRAA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.01 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $17.71. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRAA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.10 (+16.1% upside). Prior stop was $17.71. Stop-loss: $17.71.

What are the risks of investing in PRAA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is PRAA overvalued or undervalued?

PRA Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRAA?

9 analysts cover PRAA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.

What does PRA Group, Inc. do?PRA Group is a global specialty finance company that purchases, collects, and manages nonperforming consumer loan...

PRA Group is a global specialty finance company that purchases, collects, and manages nonperforming consumer loan portfolios, primarily credit card, consumer, and auto loans sold by banks and other creditors, with operations across the U.S. and 12 European countries plus smaller operations in South America, Canada, and Australia. The company generated 43% of its 2025 portfolio income internationally, employed 2,615 full-time equivalents as of December 31, 2025, and recorded a $412.6 million goodwill impairment charge in its U.S. Debt Buying and Collection reporting unit during the third quarte

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