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PHParker-Hannifin CorporationSell5.5·$1055.85-0.29%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Parker-Hannifin has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 7.2% above estimates with a wide economic moat and operating margins of 17%, but the stock is richly valued at a forward P/E of 26.9x and trades at its analyst price target leaving little near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Margin LeadershipStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings ExcellenceStable
  • Rich Valuation Limited UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1055.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific... Read more

$1055.85-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#27 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.22%
IncomeYield0.76%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout25.98%sustainable
Stop $997.71Target $1077.94(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$1160.95+10.0%23 analysts
$1077.94our TP
$1055.85price
$1160.95mean
$680
$1358

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1055.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.0
P/E (Fwd)27.4
Mkt Cap$133.1B
EV/EBITDA25.3
Profit Mgn17.0%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.68bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$1380+30.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.4
Peg Ratio
3.4
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.5
Ps
6.1
Forward P/E: 27.4xPEG: 3.57
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $942.24Resistance $1099.94

Price Targets

$998
$1078
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.0% upside)
! Red flag in news: 'bankruptcy'
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1055.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $997.71. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1077.94 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $997.71. Stop-loss: $997.71.

What are the risks of investing in PH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Expensive valuation.

Is PH overvalued or undervalued?

Parker-Hannifin Corporation trades at a P/E of 37.0 (forward 27.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PH?

34 analysts cover PH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1161.

What does Parker-Hannifin Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise...

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific years refer to the applicable fiscal year.

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