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PHParker-Hannifin CorporationSell5.5·$987.54+0.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Parker-Hannifin has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 7.2% above estimates with a wide economic moat and operating margins of 17%, but the stock is richly valued at a forward P/E of 26.9x and trades at its analyst price target leaving little near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Margin LeadershipStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings ExcellenceDeteriorating
  • Rich Valuation Limited UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $987.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific... Read more

$987.54-5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#36 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.23%
IncomeYield0.81%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout26.57%sustainable
Stop $939.64Target $980.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$1039.70+5.3%23 analysts
$980.71our TP
$987.54price
$1039.70mean
$680
$1269

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $987.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.5
P/E (Fwd)28.9
Mkt Cap$124.5B
EV/EBITDA24.4
Profit Mgn16.6%
ROE24.8%
Rev Growth10.6%
Beta1.11
Dividend0.81%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$860-12.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.2
Revenue Growth
5.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.2
Pe
3.5
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.2
Ps
6.3
Forward P/E: 28.9xPEG: 3.86

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.8
52w Position
9.1
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $929.34Resistance $1000.72

Price Targets

$940
$981
A.Upside-5.2%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $987.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $939.64. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $980.71 (-5.2% upside). Prior stop was $939.64. Stop-loss: $939.64.

What are the risks of investing in PH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); Expensive valuation.

Is PH overvalued or undervalued?

Parker-Hannifin Corporation trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PH?

34 analysts cover PH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1040.

What does Parker-Hannifin Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise...

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific years refer to the applicable fiscal year.

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