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PHParker-Hannifin CorporationHold5.3·$971.36+0.88%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Parker-Hannifin has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 7.2% above estimates with a wide economic moat and operating margins of 17%, but the stock is richly valued at a forward P/E of 26.9x and trades at its analyst price target leaving little near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Margin LeadershipStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings ExcellenceStable
  • Rich Valuation Limited UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $971.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific... Read more

$971.36+1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#29 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.29%
IncomeYield0.83%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout26.57%sustainable
Stop $923.80Target $983.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$1040.70+7.1%23 analysts
$983.71our TP
$971.36price
$1040.70mean
$680
$1269

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $971.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.6
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$121.4B
EV/EBITDA23.8
Profit Mgn16.6%
ROE24.8%
Rev Growth10.6%
Beta1.11
Dividend0.83%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.2
Revenue Growth
5.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.2
Pe
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.4
Ps
6.4
Forward P/E: 28.2xPEG: 3.77
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $871.94Resistance $1003.79

Price Targets

$924
$984
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $971.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $983.71 (+1.3%), stop $923.80 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $983.71 (+1.3% upside). Target $983.71 (+1.3%), stop $923.80 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $923.80.

What are the risks of investing in PH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation; Weak growth.

Is PH overvalued or undervalued?

Parker-Hannifin Corporation trades at a P/E of 35.6 (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PH?

34 analysts cover PH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1041.

What does Parker-Hannifin Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise...

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific years refer to the applicable fiscal year.

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