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PGRProgressive Corporation (The)Hold5.5·$220.08-0.19%
PGR · Concentration risk · 10-K extracted

Progressive Corporation (The) (PGR) concentration risks

Updated

The most significant concentration Progressive Corporation (The) discloses is Personal Lines at 87%, classified HIGH by disclosed size. Below: the full set from the latest 10-K — verbatim quotes, filing references, and a synthesis of what these exposures mean together.

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Source: Progressive Corporation (The)’s SEC Form 10-K filed view the filing on SEC EDGAR ↗

At a glance

Disclosed-size breakdown · 3 disclosed concentrations

HIGH1
MEDIUM1
LOW1
Disclosed concentrations

Each card carries a disclosed-size chip (HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW — how large the exposure is as a share of revenue, not how dangerous it is) and a nature tag: Built-in(the company’s own model, geography, or products) or Outside party (an external customer, supplier, or distributor it relies on).

HIGHBuilt-inProduct / Revenue mix
87%

Personal Lines

10-K Item 1: 'The Personal Lines segment accounted for 87% of our total net premiums written in 2025'
SEC 10-K · filed Mar 2026
MEDIUMBuilt-inGeographic

states with significant exposure to hurricanes and hailstorms

10-K Item 1A: 'our property business has a concentration of policies in force in states with significant exposure to hurricanes and hailstorms'
SEC 10-K · filed Mar 2026
LOWOutside partyCustomer
14%

Uber Technologies (TNC)

10-K Item 1: 'we provided commercial auto coverage in the TNC business to Uber Technologies subsidiaries in 14 states. TNC represented 14% of our Commercial Lines net premiums written in 2025'
SEC 10-K · filed Mar 2026
TrendMatrix Research · concentration synthesis

What these concentrations mean together

updated 2026-06-24

The insurer's business mix is heavily weighted toward Personal Lines, which accounted for 87% of total net premiums written in 2025 — a high-share structural concentration that reflects a deliberate strategic focus on personal auto and property insurance. The character is structural: this skew is the result of the company's business model rather than reliance on any individual account, and it means performance is tightly levered to personal-lines loss cost trends, pricing cycles, and the frequency-severity dynamics of auto claims. Layered on that is a geographic exposure within the property book: the company has a concentration of policies in force in states with significant exposure to hurricanes and hailstorms — a medium-share structural exposure whose realization risk is event-driven. Catastrophe seasons in those states can generate elevated combined ratios that are partially but not fully absorbed by reinsurance, making this a key volatility driver. At the individual customer level, the Transportation Network Company business — specifically coverage provided to Uber Technologies subsidiaries in 14 states — represented 14% of Commercial Lines net premiums written in 2025. This is a low-share dependency concentrated within the smaller Commercial Lines segment; a contract change with Uber would be visible at the Commercial Lines level but would have a limited effect on consolidated premiums given the dominant weight of Personal Lines. On balance, the structural personal-lines skew and the CAT-exposed property book are the primary concentration variables to monitor.

For the engine’s reasoning on PGR’s current verdict — including which dimensions drove the score — see the per-dimension breakdown.

Industry peers · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Peer concentration profile

SymbolNameHIGHMEDIUMLOWTotal
CNACNA Financial Corporation2002
AIZAssurant, Inc.1203
PGRProgressive Corporation (The)1113
ALLAllstate Corporation (The)1001
CBChubb Limited0101
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.0022

Concentration counts reflect items disclosed in each peer’s most recent 10-K; disclosed-size classification uses TrendMatrix’s internal 10-K extraction taxonomy.

Concentration disclosures are extracted verbatim from SEC 10-K filings; the disclosed-size classification and the synthesis above are engine-derived. Size reflects how large each exposure is against fixed share thresholds (HIGH >50%, MEDIUM 25–50%, LOW <25% or an explicit diversification statement), not a judgment of how dangerous it is, and is not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or a view on the stock. Not a complete list of risk factors — see the full filing.

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