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PEBPebblebrook Hotel TrustSell4.7·$18.03+1.69%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust trades above analyst resistance targets with a quality score of 1.8 and short interest of 19%, while an exceptionally high dividend yield is flagged as unsustainable, making the risk/reward unattractive despite strong recent price momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Quality ThresholdStable
  • High Short Interest SignalDeteriorating
  • Yield Trap Dividend SafetyDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 43 hotels, totaling approximately 10,900 guest rooms across 13 urban and resort markets. Pebblebrook Hotel... Read more

$18.03-4.6% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#10 of 12 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield12.70%
IncomeYield0.23%(5y avg 0.28%)Payout126.37%
Stop $17.01Target $18.41(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$19.12+6.0%15 analysts
$18.41our TP
$18.03price
$19.12mean
$13
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05

Recent Developments — Pebblebrook Hotel Trust

Generated 2026-09-05T21:56:56Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels and resorts
Target reached (-4.6% upside)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-66.8
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn-3.1%
ROE-1.6%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta1.40
Dividend0.23%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyhotels and resorts
    10-K Item 1A: 'Due to our exclusive focus on hotels and resorts, and our concentration in hotel investments primarily in major gateway urban and resort markets, a downturn in the lodging industry generally or regional downturns in the markets in which we operate would adversely affect our operations and financial condition.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOW
    Trustee Ron E. Jackson's previously-disclosed retirement from the Board took effect at the May 29, 2026 annual meeting; board size decreased to seven trustees. Planned, non-executive departure with no successor sought.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.9
Gross Margin
1.1
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
2.8
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
5.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Macd
3.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
5.8
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.41Resistance $18.79

Price Targets

$17
$18
A.Upside-4.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.03: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.01. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.41 (-4.6% upside). Prior stop was $17.01. Stop-loss: $17.01.

What are the risks of investing in PEB?

Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels and resorts; Target reached (-4.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is PEB overvalued or undervalued?

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -66.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PEB?

19 analysts cover PEB with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Pebblebrook Hotel Trust do?Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort...

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 43 hotels, totaling approximately 10,900 guest rooms across 13 urban and resort markets. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is based in Bethesda, United States. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust was established in October, 02 2009 and incorporated in Maryland.

Related stocks: DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · CLDT (Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT)) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · APLE (Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.)
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