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PEBPebblebrook Hotel TrustSell4.2·$21.95
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust trades above analyst resistance targets with a quality score of 1.8 and short interest of 19%, while an exceptionally high dividend yield is flagged as unsustainable, making the risk/reward unattractive despite strong recent price momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Quality Threshold→Stable
  • High Short Interest Signal↑Improving
  • Yield Trap Dividend Safety↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Stock Analysis

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality.

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 43 hotels, totaling approximately 10,900 guest rooms across 14 urban and resort markets. Pebblebrook Hotel... Read more

$21.95-18.3% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#12 of 12 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield12.91%
IncomeYield0.18%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout126.37%
Stop $20.69Analyst target $17.93(reached)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst consensus$19.92-9.3%15 analysts with price targets
$21.95price
$19.92mean
$15
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.80, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — Pebblebrook Hotel Trust

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:10:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 24, 2027112d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels and resorts
Target reached (-18.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-125.4
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn-4.6%
ROE-2.6%
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta1.45
Dividend0.18%
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyhotels and resorts
    10-K Item 1A: 'Due to our exclusive focus on hotels and resorts, and our concentration in hotel investments primarily in major gateway urban and resort markets, a downturn in the lodging industry generally or regional downturns in the markets in which we operate would adversely affect our operations and financial condition.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOW
    Trustee Ron E. Jackson's previously-disclosed retirement from the Board took effect at the May 29, 2026 annual meeting; board size decreased to seven trustees. Planned, non-executive departure with no successor sought.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.0
Gross Margin
1.2
Current Ratio
3.1
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
4.9
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
5.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.05Resistance $22.14

Price Targets

A.Upside-18.3%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-24 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.95: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.69. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEB stock price target?

Analyst target $17.93 reached (−18.3% from $21.95); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $20.69. Stop-loss: $20.69.

What are the risks of investing in PEB?

Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels and resorts; Target reached (-18.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is PEB overvalued or undervalued?

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -125.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PEB?

19 analysts rate PEB, with a consensus score of 3.4/5. 15 analysts publish price targets averaging $20.

What does Pebblebrook Hotel Trust do?Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort...

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 43 hotels, totaling approximately 10,900 guest rooms across 14 urban and resort markets. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is based in Bethesda, United States. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust was established in October, 02 2009 and incorporated in Maryland.

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