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HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Hold5.9·$24.88+0.29%
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Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 2026. Revenue flows from hotel operations managed by third parties under... Read more

$24.88+12.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.92%
IncomeYield3.22%(5y avg 4.49%)Payout54.42%
Entry $22.07(50-day MA)Stop $20.93Target $24.78(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1Setup A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$24.24-2.6%20 analysts
$24.78our TP
$24.88price
$24.24mean
$21
$28

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $24.90 has reached target $24.78. No upside to wait for. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.9
P/E (Fwd)24.8
Mkt Cap$17.2B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta1.13
Dividend3.22%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV106%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyMarriott International64%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 64% of our hotels (as measured by 2025 hotel revenues) are managed or franchised by Marriott International'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.39Resistance $25.29

Price Targets

$21
$22
$25
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $24.90 has reached target $24.78. No upside to wait for. Target $24.78 (-0.4%), stop $20.93 (−18.9%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.78 (+12.3% upside). Target $24.78 (-0.4%), stop $20.93 (−18.9%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $20.93.

What are the risks of investing in HST?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away).

Is HST overvalued or undervalued?

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HST?

25 analysts cover HST with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels...

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 2026. Revenue flows from hotel operations managed by third parties under long-term agreements, with Marriott managing approximately 64% of hotels by 2025 revenues.

Related stocks: RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.)
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