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Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with ~41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 20, 2026. Revenue is earned through hotel operations managed by third parties;... Read more

$21.79+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#1 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.85%
IncomeYield3.66%(5y avg 4.49%)Payout54.42%
Stop $20.79Target $21.94(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$22.88+5.0%20 analysts
$21.94our TP
$21.79price
$22.88mean
$20
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$15.2B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta1.12
Dividend3.66%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.66bearish
IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyMarriott International64%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 64% of our hotels (as measured by 2025 hotel revenues) are managed or franchised by Marriott International. We rely on Marriott's personnel, expertise, technical resources and information systems, proprietary information, good faith and judgment to manage and maintain our hotel operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.70Resistance $22.39

Price Targets

$21
$22
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $21.94 (+0.7%), stop $20.79 (−4.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.94 (+0.7% upside). Target $21.94 (+0.7%), stop $20.79 (−4.8%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $20.79.

What are the risks of investing in HST?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Is HST overvalued or undervalued?

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HST?

25 analysts cover HST with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels...

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with ~41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 20, 2026. Revenue is earned through hotel operations managed by third parties; approximately 64% of hotels (by 2025 hotel revenues) are managed or franchised by Marriott International. No single customer accounts for more than 10% of revenues.

Related stocks: SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.)