Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 64% of NOI from Marriott International (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: Marriott International (64.0%).
Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all located in the United States (five in Brazil and Canada). Revenue derives from hotel operations managed under... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 64% of NOI from Marriott International (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: Marriott International (64.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $21.27 has reached target $21.12. No upside to wait for. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d and reit tenant cliff hard block. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHTenantMarriott International64%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 64% of our hotels (as measured by 2025 hotel revenues) are managed or franchised by Marriott International.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: REIT tenant concentration cliff: 64% of NOI from Marriott International (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: Marriott International (64.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $21.27 has reached target $21.12. No upside to wait for. Target $21.12 (-0.7%), stop $18.82 (−13.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $21.12 (+7.2% upside). Target $21.12 (-0.7%), stop $18.82 (−13.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $18.82.
REIT tenant concentration cliff: 64% of NOI from Marriott International (≥40% threshold). Single-tenant churn risk dominates spot FFO.; Concentration risk — Tenant: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
25 analysts cover HST with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $22.
What does Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels...
Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all located in the United States (five in Brazil and Canada). Revenue derives from hotel operations managed under long-term third-party management agreements, predominantly with Marriott International.