Skip to main content
CLDTChatham Lodging Trust (REIT)Sell5.9·$13.35
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chatham Lodging shows unusually strong cash conversion on an FFO basis, but a quality score just below the investment floor and an explicit yield-trap warning on its dividend argue for caution despite a still-intact long-term technical trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Reit Cash Conversion Strength→Stable
  • Quality Score Below Investment Floor→Stable
  • Yield Trap Warning→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) (CLDT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.35 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.9% away).

Chatham Lodging Trust is an internally-managed hotel REIT that owns 33 upscale extended-stay and premium-branded select-service hotels with 5,021 rooms across 15 states and Washington, D.C., primarily flagged under Marriott and Hilton brands. The trust leases each hotel to a... Read more

$13.35-9.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 12 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.68%
IncomeYield2.99%(5y avg 7.57%)Payout475.00%
Stop $12.69Target $15.35(default +15%)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$14.17+6.1%3 analysts
$15.35our TP
$13.35price
$14.17mean
$13
$15

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.35 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.9% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)167.5
P/E (Fwd)-111.7
Mkt Cap$658M
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE1.6%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta1.09
Dividend2.99%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C8.00bearish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.53Resistance $13.68

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside-9.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLDT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.35 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $12.69. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLDT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.35 (-9.8% upside). Prior stop was $12.69. Stop-loss: $12.69.

What are the risks of investing in CLDT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Is CLDT overvalued or undervalued?

Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) trades at a P/E of 167.5 (forward -111.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLDT?

10 analysts cover CLDT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) do?Chatham Lodging Trust is an internally-managed hotel REIT that owns 33 upscale extended-stay and premium-branded...

Chatham Lodging Trust is an internally-managed hotel REIT that owns 33 upscale extended-stay and premium-branded select-service hotels with 5,021 rooms across 15 states and Washington, D.C., primarily flagged under Marriott and Hilton brands. The trust leases each hotel to a taxable REIT subsidiary, which contracts day-to-day operations to Island Hospitality Management, the sole manager of all 33 properties.

Related stocks: DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · APLE (Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.) · INN (Summit Hotel Properties, Inc.) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)
Home › Stocks › CLDT

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat52d ago
MarketBeat53d agoEarnings
Finance.yahoo.com53d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance53d agoEarnings
MarketBeat46d ago
Simplywall.st53d ago
GuruFocus53d agoEarnings
MarketBeat53d agoEarnings
MarketBeat53d agoEarnings
AlphaStreet53d agoEarnings
Finance.yahoo.com53d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance53d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative53d ago
MarketBeat53d ago
Yahoo Finance47d ago
TradingView50d ago
Benzinga53d agoEarnings
Benzinga53d ago
Benzinga74d agoAnalyst