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PBIPitney Bowes Inc.Sell5.4·$16.82-4.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pitney Bowes has seen earnings estimates rise 42% in the past 30 days — the strongest positive revision signal in the dataset — and converts 152% of net income into free cash flow, but the stock is already at its analyst target with no upside remaining and near a 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Estimate Revision AccelerationStable
  • Superior Cash ConversionStable
  • Target Exhaustion At 52w HighStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.82 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

$16.82+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#2 of 13 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.18%
IncomeYield2.38%(5y avg 3.88%)Payout31.73%sustainable
Stop $15.68Target $17.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$17.14+1.9%5 analysts
$17.88our TP
$16.82price
$17.14mean
$15
$20

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.82 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Pitney Bowes Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T06:00:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta1.61
Dividend2.38%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.50bearish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.8
Volume
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.13%=EXTREMENo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.16Resistance $18.25

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.3% upside)
! Red flag in news: 'bankruptcy'
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.82 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.68. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.88 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $15.68. Stop-loss: $15.68.

What are the risks of investing in PBI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued?

Pitney Bowes Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PBI?

9 analysts cover PBI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Pitney Bowes Inc. do?•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or...

•changes in postal regulations or the operations and financial health of posts in the U.S. or other major markets, or changes to the broader postal or shipping markets

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