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OVIDOvid Therapeutics Inc.Sell5.2·$2.67-0.37%
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Ovid Therapeutics Inc. (OVID) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.67: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Ovid Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of small molecule medicines for brain disorders including epilepsies and seizure-related neurological disorders in the United States. The company is developing OV329, a GABA-AT inhibitor which is in... Read more

$2.67+77.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#102 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-4.15%
Stop $2.50Target $4.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$5.47+104.9%9 analysts
$4.76our TP
$2.67price
$5.47mean
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.67: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.5%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.14% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.0
Mkt Cap$502M
EV/EBITDA-7.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-18.8%
Rev Growth
Beta0.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -292% of revenueNo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
6.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
2.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.3
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $2.16Resistance $2.83

Price Targets

$3
$5
A.Upside+78.3%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.5%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.14% of cap)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OVID stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.67: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.50. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OVID stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.76 (+77.0% upside). Prior stop was $2.50. Stop-loss: $2.50.

What are the risks of investing in OVID?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.5%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.14% of cap).

Is OVID overvalued or undervalued?

Ovid Therapeutics Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OVID?

16 analysts cover OVID with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Ovid Therapeutics Inc. do?Ovid Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of small molecule medicines for brain...

Ovid Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of small molecule medicines for brain disorders including epilepsies and seizure-related neurological disorders in the United States. The company is developing OV329, a GABA-AT inhibitor which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of adult and infant drug-resistant epilepsies; and OV4071, a first-in-human oral potassium-chloride cotransporter 2 direct activator which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of psychosis associated with parkinson's disease, lewy body dementia, and acute schizophrenia. It has license and collaboration agreements with AstraZeneca AB, H. Lundbeck A/S, Northwestern University, and Graviton, as well as Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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