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OPIOffice Properties Income TrustHold5.1·$18.20+0.78%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Office Properties Income Trust screens as statistically cheap with rising price accumulation above its 200-day average, but a collapsed operating margin, no economic moat, and declining revenue keep the quality picture below the investable floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Operating Margin CollapseStable
  • No Competitive MoatDeteriorating
  • Declining RevenueStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Office Properties Income Trust (OPI) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: RMR (external manager); Market cap $396M below $400M minimum.

Office Properties Income Trust is a REIT owning 122 office and mixed-use properties totaling 17.1 million square feet across the U.S., leased to 212 tenants as of December 31, 2025. The U.S. government is its largest tenant at approximately 17.2% of annualized rental income. OPI... Read more

$18.20+26.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#10 of 18 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-14.18%
Stop $16.93Target $22.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$27.00+48.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: RMR (external manager); Market cap $396M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $396M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Office Properties Income Trust

About Office Properties Income Trust

Office Properties Income Trust owned 122 properties totaling 17.1 million rentable square feet as of December 31, 2025, carried at an undepreciated value of about $3.7 billion, leased to 212 tenants with a weighted average remaining lease term of 6.6 years. The U.S. government is the company's largest tenant, representing approximately 17.2% of annualized rental income, and the REIT emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy on June 17, 2026.

OPI earns rental income under leases with private sector and government tenants across office and mixed-use properties, with near-term rollover concentrated in 2027: 3.7% of annualized rental income expires in 2026 and 12.9% in 2027. As of December 31, 2025, consolidated debt stood at $2.4 billion with the revolving credit facility fully drawn; the Plan of Reorganization that took effect June 17, 2026 cuts debt by roughly $700 million by converting senior secured and unsecured noteholders into new secured notes and reorganized equity, while canceling pre-existing common shares. Day-to-day operations, leasing and capital allocation are externally managed by The RMR Group under a business management agreement carrying a $14 million annual fee for the first two years, plus up to 10% of reorganized common equity issuable to RMR based on financial performance tests.

Show full overview

A geographic overlay compounds OPI's tenant exposure: 22.6% of annualized rental income comes from properties in the metropolitan Washington, D.C. market, where the 10-K flags weak conditions and reduced government demand for leased space. That overlap matters because the current administration is reportedly seeking to terminate existing U.S. government office leases, and OPI's own filing notes government tenants have already consolidated into government-owned buildings and cut space per employee -- a dynamic concentrated in the same market where the company holds its largest single-MSA position.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Office

From Office Properties Income Trust's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 2, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-21

Recent Developments — Office Properties Income Trust

Latest news

Generated 2026-08-21T18:12:34Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: RMR (external manager)
Market cap $396M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$396M
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn-243.2%
ROE-135.7%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWTenantU.S. government17%
    10-K Item 1: 'The U.S. government is our largest tenant, representing approximately 17.2% of our annualized rental income as of December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMTenantprivate sector single/majority tenants34%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, 34.3% of our annualized rental income was from our properties leased to private sector single tenants or majority occupied tenants.'
  • LOWGeographicmetropolitan Washington, D.C.23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived approximately 22.6% of our annualized rental income from our consolidated properties located in the metropolitan Washington, D.C. market area'
  • HIGHcounterpartyRMR (external manager)
    10-K Item 1: 'Our day to day operations are conducted by RMR.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-23Item 1.03HIGH
    On June 17, 2026, OPI's Chapter 11 Plan of Reorganization became effective and the Debtors emerged from bankruptcy protection under the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas. Reason cited: satisfaction of Plan effectiveness conditions.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-23Item 5.01HIGH
    In connection with the Plan's effectiveness on June 17, 2026, OPI's pre-existing common shares were cancelled and new reorganized common equity was issued to former noteholders, effecting a change of control. No specific new controlling holder named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
9.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -243.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.4
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.8
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -13% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -11 (fail)
GatesINSIDER 1.65%=EXTREMESEC critical: Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.87Resistance $20.79

Price Targets

$17
$23
A.Upside+26.1%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $396M below $400M minimum
! Insider activity: 1.65%=extreme
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: RMR (external manager); Market cap $396M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $396M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $22.95 (+26.1%), stop $16.93 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.95 (+26.1% upside). Target $22.95 (+26.1%), stop $16.93 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.93.

What are the risks of investing in OPI?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: RMR (external manager); Market cap $396M below $400M minimum.

Is OPI overvalued or undervalued?

Office Properties Income Trust trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OPI?

9 analysts cover OPI with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Office Properties Income Trust do?Office Properties Income Trust is a REIT owning 122 office and mixed-use properties totaling 17.1 million square feet...

Office Properties Income Trust is a REIT owning 122 office and mixed-use properties totaling 17.1 million square feet across the U.S., leased to 212 tenants as of December 31, 2025. The U.S. government is its largest tenant at approximately 17.2% of annualized rental income. OPI emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy on June 17, 2026, cancelling prior common shares and cutting debt by roughly $700 million.

Related stocks: PSTL (Postal Realty Trust, Inc.) · DEA (Easterly Government Properties,) · HIW (Highwoods Properties, Inc.) · ESBA (Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se) · OGCP (Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se)
Home Stocks OPI

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga17d ago