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ESBAEmpire State Realty OP, L.P. SeSell4.8·$5.27+0.46%
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Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se (ESBA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Empire State Realty OP, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

$5.27+7.7% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 14 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15.93%
IncomeYield2.67%(5y avg 1.65%)Payout66.67%
Stop $4.90Target $5.68(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.0
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE3.3%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta1.41
Dividend2.67%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.88Resistance $5.80

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+7.8%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ESBA.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESBA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.90. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESBA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.68 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $4.90. Stop-loss: $4.90.

What are the risks of investing in ESBA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is ESBA overvalued or undervalued?

Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se trades at a P/E of 25.0 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se do?Empire State Realty OP, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Empire State Realty Trust,...

Empire State Realty OP, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

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