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ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Buy Wait6.5·$347.48-2.40%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth EngineStable
  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Falling Knife Technical SetupStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $314.02. At $347.48 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $314.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA.

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$347.48+12.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#17 of 240 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.24%
Entry $314.02(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $294.70Target $389.71(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$433.02+24.6%27 analysts
$389.71our TP
$347.48price
$433.02mean
$528

Wait for pullback to $314.02. At $347.48 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $314.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.1x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/11 gates (positive momentum, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=healthcare 4/10). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)62.2
P/E (Fwd)33.8
Mkt Cap$39.3B
EV/EBITDA34.0
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta0.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C4.39bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$500+43.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.55%=MODERATEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.4>=4.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Healthcare 4/10Momentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $309.47Resistance $366.99

Price Targets

$295
$314
$390
A.Upside+12.2%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.2%
Max %2.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! R/R 1.1x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $314.02. At $347.48 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $314.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.1x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $389.71 (+12.2%), stop $294.70 (−17.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $389.71 (+12.2% upside). Target $389.71 (+12.2%), stop $294.70 (−17.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $294.70.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA.

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 62.2 (forward 33.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ONC?

12 analysts cover ONC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $433.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

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