Skip to main content
ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Hold6.6·$328.62+0.84%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth EngineDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Falling Knife Technical SetupDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $328.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA.

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$328.62+13.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#12 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.50%
Stop $311.34Target $374.07(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$415.64+26.5%27 analysts
$374.07our TP
$328.62price
$415.64mean
$501

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $328.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)73.6
P/E (Fwd)33.7
Mkt Cap$33.8B
EV/EBITDA40.6
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth35.5%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C4.67bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
0.7
52w Position
7.1
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.64%=MODERATEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.6>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $283.07Resistance $331.52

Price Targets

$311
$374
A.Upside+13.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $328.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $374.07 (+13.8%), stop $311.34 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $374.07 (+13.5% upside). Target $374.07 (+13.8%), stop $311.34 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $311.34.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA.

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 73.6 (forward 33.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ONC?

12 analysts cover ONC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $416.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

Related stocks: ARGX (argenx SE) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · ALNY (Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · TLX (Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited)
Home Stocks ONC

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus89d agoFda Decision
Business Wire89d agoFda Decision
GuruFocus61d agoProduct
Stock Titan61d ago
Stock Titan61d ago
Via TT61d agoProduct
AASTOCKS.com61d ago
Marketscreener.com96d ago
GuruFocus97d ago
Afp.com68d agoProduct
Fierce Pharma68d agoProduct
Simplywall.st40d ago
Investing.com40d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus103d agoEarnings
GuruFocus75d agoFda Decision
Seeking Alpha75d agoFda Decision
Seeking Alpha75d agoFda Decision
Yahoo Finance75d agoAnalyst
Stocktwits75d agoFda Decision
Yahoo Finance75d ago
Loading more...