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ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Buy Wait6.4·$355.00
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth Engine→Stable
  • Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Falling Knife Technical Setup→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $346.19. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $355.00. Engine's entry $346.19 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Negative momentum.

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$355.00+10.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#21 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.18%
Entry $346.19(support + ATR (held))Stop $330.23Target $393.81(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst consensus$437.57+23.3%27 analysts with price targets
$393.81our TP
$355.00price
$437.57mean
$528

Wait for pullback to $346.19. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $355.00. Engine's entry $346.19 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — BeOne Medicines Ltd.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)63.5
P/E (Fwd)34.0
Mkt Cap$40.4B
EV/EBITDA34.8
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta0.63
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV50%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.2
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $340.44Resistance $388.66

Price Targets

$330
$346
$394
A.Upside+10.9%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.2%
Max %2.4%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $346.19. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $355.00. Engine's entry $346.19 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $393.81 (+10.9%), stop $330.23 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $393.81 (+10.9% upside). Target $393.81 (+10.9%), stop $330.23 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $330.23.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Negative momentum.

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 63.5 (forward 34.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ONC?

11 analysts rate ONC, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 27 analysts publish price targets averaging $438.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

Related stocks: ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S) · ARGX (argenx SE) · REGN (Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · PTCT (PTC Therapeutics, Inc.) · JAZZ (Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc)
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