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ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Buy Wait6.4·$362.53
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth Engine↓Deteriorating
  • Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Falling Knife Technical Setup↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $343.13. At $362.53 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $343.13 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 7.4%.

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$362.53+7.4% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#18 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.16%
Entry $343.13(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $325.08Target $389.52(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$432.80+19.4%28 analysts
$389.52our TP
$362.53price
$432.80mean
$528

Wait for pullback to $343.13. At $362.53 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $343.13 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 7.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA
Thin upside margin: 7.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.3
P/E (Fwd)34.9
Mkt Cap$40.7B
EV/EBITDA35.3
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta0.52
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV40%normal
Max Pain$310-14.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.76%=HEAVYMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Speculative
RSI
53 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $336.95Resistance $372.00

Price Targets

$325
$343
$390
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: MID-cap BUY_NOW needs quality>=8.5 or MoS>=50%
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 0.76%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $343.13. At $362.53 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $343.13 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 7.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Target $389.52 (+7.4%), stop $325.08 (−11.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $389.52 (+7.4% upside). Target $389.52 (+7.4%), stop $325.08 (−11.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $325.08.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 7.4%.

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 65.3 (forward 34.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ONC?

12 analysts cover ONC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $433.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

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