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ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Buy Wait6.5·$351.48
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth Engine↓Deteriorating
  • Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Falling Knife Technical Setup↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $345.44. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $351.48. Engine's entry $345.44 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA.

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$351.48+11.5% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#12 of 239 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.21%
Entry $345.44(support + ATR (held))Stop $330.23Target $391.98(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$435.53+23.9%27 analysts
$391.98our TP
$351.48price
$435.53mean
$528

Wait for pullback to $345.44. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $351.48. Engine's entry $345.44 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)62.4
P/E (Fwd)34.1
Mkt Cap$39.7B
EV/EBITDA34.2
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$300-14.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $340.44Resistance $376.50

Price Targets

$330
$345
$392
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.5%
Max %3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$436

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $345.44. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $351.48. Engine's entry $345.44 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Target $391.98 (+11.5%), stop $330.23 (−6.4%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $391.98 (+11.5% upside). Target $391.98 (+11.5%), stop $330.23 (−6.4%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $330.23.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA.

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 62.4 (forward 34.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ONC?

12 analysts cover ONC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $436.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

Related stocks: ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ARGX (argenx SE) · JAZZ (Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc) · ALNY (Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
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