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NUENucor CorporationBuy Wait6.0·$220.75+0.79%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nucor is a high-growth steel producer trading at a forward P/E of 15.7x with a PEG of 0.04, supported by 21% YoY revenue growth and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but momentum is marginally below threshold and the stock sits near analyst targets, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Insider Signal And Low Short InterestStable
  • Low Peg Growth At ValueStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Wait for pullback to $212.07. At $220.75 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $212.07 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Negative momentum.

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$220.75+10.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 13 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.76%
IncomeYield1.01%(5y avg 1.41%)Payout22.02%sustainable
Entry $212.07(1 ATR pullback)Stop $197.23Target $234.68(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$260.76+18.1%16 analysts
$234.68our TP
$220.75price
$260.76mean
$138
$290

Wait for pullback to $212.07. At $220.75 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $212.07 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Nucor Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: (e) On June 16, 2026, the Company and Mr. Needham entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Needham's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 20, 2026.

Generated 2026-07-06T03:20:32Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (19 sells, 0.07% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$50.3B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth21.3%
Beta1.92
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV52%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On June 16, 2026, the Company and Mr. Needham entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Needham's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 20, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On May 28, 2026, the Company and Mr. Sumoski entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Sumoski's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 13, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 23)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $214.61Resistance $270.24

Price Targets

$197
$212
$235
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $212.07. At $220.75 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $212.07 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $234.68 (+6.3%), stop $197.23 (−11.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $234.68 (+10.7% upside). Target $234.68 (+6.3%), stop $197.23 (−11.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $197.23.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (19 sells, 0.07% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NUE?

24 analysts cover NUE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $261.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

Related stocks: STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · RS (Reliance, Inc.) · MT (Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar) · PKX (POSCO Holdings Inc.)
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