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NUENucor CorporationBuy Wait6.6·$268.91-1.24%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nucor is a high-growth steel producer trading at a forward P/E of 15.7x with a PEG of 0.04, supported by 21% YoY revenue growth and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but momentum is marginally below threshold and the stock sits near analyst targets, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Insider Signal And Low Short InterestImproving
  • Low Peg Growth At ValueStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Wait for pullback to $248.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $268.91. Engine's entry $248.06 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$268.91-5.1% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.08%
IncomeYield0.82%(5y avg 1.41%)Payout17.80%sustainable
Entry $248.06(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $231.17Target $274.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$283.56+5.4%16 analysts
$274.51our TP
$268.91price
$283.56mean
$231
$305

Wait for pullback to $248.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $268.91. Engine's entry $248.06 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.7
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$61.8B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta1.89
Dividend0.82%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV53%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On June 16, 2026, the Company and Mr. Needham entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Needham's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 20, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On May 28, 2026, the Company and Mr. Sumoski entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Sumoski's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 13, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $230.00Resistance $280.11

Price Targets

$231
$248
$275
A.Upside-5.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $248.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $268.91. Engine's entry $248.06 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $274.51 (+2.1%), stop $231.17 (−16.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $274.51 (-5.1% upside). Target $274.51 (+2.1%), stop $231.17 (−16.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $231.17.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NUE?

23 analysts cover NUE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $284.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

Related stocks: STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · RS (Reliance, Inc.) · GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · PKX (POSCO Holdings Inc.)
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