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NUENucor CorporationHold6.4·$261.01-1.12%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nucor is a high-growth steel producer trading at a forward P/E of 15.7x with a PEG of 0.04, supported by 21% YoY revenue growth and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but momentum is marginally below threshold and the stock sits near analyst targets, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • Insider Signal And Low Short InterestStable
  • Low Peg Growth At ValueDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $261.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$261.01-3.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.15%
IncomeYield0.85%(5y avg 1.41%)Payout17.80%sustainable
Stop $244.10Target $272.05(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$282.81+8.4%16 analysts
$272.05our TP
$261.01price
$282.81mean
$231
$305

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $261.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 45, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$59.5B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta1.89
Dividend0.85%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$380+45.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On June 16, 2026, the Company and Mr. Needham entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Needham's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 20, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On May 28, 2026, the Company and Mr. Sumoski entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Sumoski's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 13, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $238.62Resistance $277.60

Price Targets

$244
$272
A.Upside-3.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $261.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 45, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $272.05 (+4.2%), stop $244.10 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $272.05 (-3.0% upside). Target $272.05 (+4.2%), stop $244.10 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $244.10.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NUE?

24 analysts cover NUE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $283.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

Related stocks: STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · RS (Reliance, Inc.) · PKX (POSCO Holdings Inc.) · MT (Arcelor Mittal NY Registry Shar)
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