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NTLAIntellia Therapeutics, Inc.Sell3.7·$17.75+1.08%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Intellia Therapeutics is a cash-burning gene editing company with two high-concentration pipeline programs — lonvo-z for HAE and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis — where short interest of 44% reflects deep skepticism, but a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak and 78% analyst upside indicate institutional believers see a path to significant value creation.

Thesis pillars

  • Dual Pipeline Concentration RiskStable
  • Extreme Short Interest SkepticismStable
  • Cash Burn Below Quality FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. (NTLA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Below-average business quality.

Intellia Therapeutics is a pre-commercial CRISPR gene editing company with two Phase 3 programs: lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema (HAE) and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis, both designed as one-time in vivo treatments. The planned U.S. commercial launch for lonvo-z targets the first... Read more

$17.75+34.4% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#247 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-9.59%
Stop $16.59Target $23.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$26.63+50.0%19 analysts
$23.97our TP
$17.75price
$26.63mean
$8
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.

About Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.

Intellia Therapeutics is advancing two in vivo CRISPR therapies in Phase 3: lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema (HAE), with topline data from the 80-patient HAELO study expected mid-2026 and BLA submission planned for the second half of 2026; and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis, with the MAGNITUDE Phase 3 trial (more than 650 enrolled patients for ATTR-CM) on FDA clinical hold since October 29, 2025, while the MAGNITUDE-2 study for ATTRv-PN had its hold lifted in January 2026 with enrollment expected to complete in the second half of 2026.

Intellia generates pre-commercial revenue primarily through collaboration arrangements. Nex-z is co-developed with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, which shares approximately 25% of worldwide development costs and commercial profits under the ATTR co-development and co-promotion agreement; Intellia serves as the clinical and commercial lead. Under the 2016 Regeneron Agreement, Intellia is eligible for up to $320 million per in vivo target in development and commercial milestone payments plus mid-single-digit royalties on future sales. Lonvo-z is wholly owned. Additional revenue flows from licensing arrangements with AvenCell Therapeutics (ex vivo CAR-T programs) and Kyverna Therapeutics (allogeneic CD19 CAR-T for autoimmune disease). No genome editing in vivo therapy has been approved in the U.S., EU, or other key jurisdictions, and neither lonvo-z nor nex-z has received marketing authorization.

Show full overview

The company's near-term value depends on two binary clinical readouts. Lonvo-z's HAELO Phase 3 primary endpoint — HAE attacks from week 5 through week 28 — is due mid-2026; a missed endpoint would eliminate the planned H1 2027 commercial launch and BLA submission timeline. For nex-z, the MAGNITUDE Phase 3 trial for ATTR-CM remains on FDA clinical hold following a Grade 4 liver injury and patient death reported in October 2025; Intellia has stated it cannot predict when the MAGNITUDE trial may resume, and failure to resolve the hold could prevent commercialization of the ATTR-CM indication, the larger of the two ATTR patient populations.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-07T13:21:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: lonvo-z (HAE)
Concentration risk — Pipeline: nex-z (ATTR amyloidosis)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-9.8
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-5.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-56.3%
Rev Growth-9.5%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV94%elevated
Max Pain$1-94.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinelonvo-z (HAE)
    10-K Item 1: 'Lonvo-z and nex-z are currently in Phase 3 clinical development, and we are preparing for the planned commercial launch of lonvo-z in the first half of 2027'
  • HIGHpipelinenex-z (ATTR amyloidosis)
    10-K Item 1A: 'the FDA placed a clinical hold on the IND applications for the MAGNITUDE and MAGNITUDE-2 Phase 3 clinical trials ... a patient who was dosed with nex-z in the MAGNITUDE trial'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.1
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
2.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
6.9
Cash-burning: FCF -356% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
2.6
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
88 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.81Resistance $18.48

Price Targets

$17
$24
A.Upside+35.0%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -12.4%), Material insider selling (122 sells, 0.18% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTLA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.59. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the NTLA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.97 (+34.4% upside). Prior stop was $16.59. Stop-loss: $16.59.

What are the risks of investing in NTLA?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: lonvo-z (HAE); Concentration risk — Pipeline: nex-z (ATTR amyloidosis); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is NTLA overvalued or undervalued?

Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NTLA?

27 analysts cover NTLA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. do?Intellia Therapeutics is a pre-commercial CRISPR gene editing company with two Phase 3 programs: lonvo-z for hereditary...

Intellia Therapeutics is a pre-commercial CRISPR gene editing company with two Phase 3 programs: lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema (HAE) and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis, both designed as one-time in vivo treatments. The planned U.S. commercial launch for lonvo-z targets the first half of 2027; revenue currently comes from collaboration arrangements including a cost- and profit-sharing agreement with Regeneron for nex-z.

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