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NTLAIntellia Therapeutics, Inc.Sell3.7·$10.88+1.44%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Intellia Therapeutics is a cash-burning gene editing company with two high-concentration pipeline programs — lonvo-z for HAE and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis — where short interest of 44% reflects deep skepticism, but a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak and 78% analyst upside indicate institutional believers see a path to significant value creation.

Thesis pillars

  • Dual Pipeline Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Extreme Short Interest SkepticismDeteriorating
  • Cash Burn Below Quality FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. (NTLA) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellShortHigh Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 7.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.85; Below-average business quality.

Intellia Therapeutics is a pre-commercial CRISPR gene editing company with two Phase 3 programs: lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema (HAE) and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis, both designed as one-time in vivo treatments. The planned U.S. commercial launch for lonvo-z targets the first... Read more

$10.88+117.1% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#251 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-15.69%
Stop $10.39Target $23.55(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 7.8:1
Analyst target$26.17+140.5%18 analysts
$23.55our TP
$10.88price
$26.17mean
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 7.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.85; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.

About Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.

Intellia Therapeutics is advancing two in vivo CRISPR therapies in Phase 3: lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema (HAE), with topline data from the 80-patient HAELO study expected mid-2026 and BLA submission planned for the second half of 2026; and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis, with the MAGNITUDE Phase 3 trial (more than 650 enrolled patients for ATTR-CM) on FDA clinical hold since October 29, 2025, while the MAGNITUDE-2 study for ATTRv-PN had its hold lifted in January 2026 with enrollment expected to complete in the second half of 2026.

Intellia generates pre-commercial revenue primarily through collaboration arrangements. Nex-z is co-developed with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, which shares approximately 25% of worldwide development costs and commercial profits under the ATTR co-development and co-promotion agreement; Intellia serves as the clinical and commercial lead. Under the 2016 Regeneron Agreement, Intellia is eligible for up to $320 million per in vivo target in development and commercial milestone payments plus mid-single-digit royalties on future sales. Lonvo-z is wholly owned. Additional revenue flows from licensing arrangements with AvenCell Therapeutics (ex vivo CAR-T programs) and Kyverna Therapeutics (allogeneic CD19 CAR-T for autoimmune disease). No genome editing in vivo therapy has been approved in the U.S., EU, or other key jurisdictions, and neither lonvo-z nor nex-z has received marketing authorization.

Show full overview

The company's near-term value depends on two binary clinical readouts. Lonvo-z's HAELO Phase 3 primary endpoint — HAE attacks from week 5 through week 28 — is due mid-2026; a missed endpoint would eliminate the planned H1 2027 commercial launch and BLA submission timeline. For nex-z, the MAGNITUDE Phase 3 trial for ATTR-CM remains on FDA clinical hold following a Grade 4 liver injury and patient death reported in October 2025; Intellia has stated it cannot predict when the MAGNITUDE trial may resume, and failure to resolve the hold could prevent commercialization of the ATTR-CM indication, the larger of the two ATTR patient populations.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — Intellia Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-27T14:48:12Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: lonvo-z (HAE)
Concentration risk — Pipeline: nex-z (ATTR amyloidosis)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.1
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-2.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-56.3%
Rev Growth-9.5%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C2.85bearish
IV86%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinelonvo-z (HAE)
    10-K Item 1: 'Lonvo-z and nex-z are currently in Phase 3 clinical development, and we are preparing for the planned commercial launch of lonvo-z in the first half of 2027'
  • HIGHpipelinenex-z (ATTR amyloidosis)
    10-K Item 1A: 'the FDA placed a clinical hold on the IND applications for the MAGNITUDE and MAGNITUDE-2 Phase 3 clinical trials ... a patient who was dosed with nex-z in the MAGNITUDE trial'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.1
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 11, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
6.9
Cash-burning: FCF -356% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 8.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
2.9
Beta
4.1
Debt Equity
9.5
High short interest justified: 41%Elevated put/call: 2.85High IV: 86%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
3.0
GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 7.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
11 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.71Resistance $18.48

Price Targets

$10
$24
A.Upside+117.1%
A.R:R7.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTLA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.88: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 7.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.85; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.39. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the NTLA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.55 (+117.1% upside). Prior stop was $10.39. Stop-loss: $10.39.

What are the risks of investing in NTLA?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: lonvo-z (HAE); Concentration risk — Pipeline: nex-z (ATTR amyloidosis); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is NTLA overvalued or undervalued?

Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NTLA?

27 analysts cover NTLA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. do?Intellia Therapeutics is a pre-commercial CRISPR gene editing company with two Phase 3 programs: lonvo-z for hereditary...

Intellia Therapeutics is a pre-commercial CRISPR gene editing company with two Phase 3 programs: lonvo-z for hereditary angioedema (HAE) and nex-z for ATTR amyloidosis, both designed as one-time in vivo treatments. The planned U.S. commercial launch for lonvo-z targets the first half of 2027; revenue currently comes from collaboration arrangements including a cost- and profit-sharing agreement with Regeneron for nex-z.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · SLN (Silence Therapeutics Plc - Amer)
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