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NEXNNexxen International Ltd.Sell5.1·$10.75+0.09%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nexxen screens cheap with strong cash conversion, but a below-floor risk score, notable insider selling, and overbought momentum against a flat trend support the engine's extreme-risk exit signal.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Valuation With Strong Cash ConversionImproving
  • Risk Score Below FloorImproving
  • Notable Insider SellingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nexxen International Ltd. (NEXN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. At $10.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Near 52-week high (5.0% away).

Nexxen International Ltd. provides end-to-end and video-first platform that engages advertising campaigns for brands, agencies, media groups, and content creators worldwide. It offers demand side platform, which provides a self-service solution for advertisers and their agencies... Read more

$10.75+17.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#13 of 15 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.09%
Stop $9.99Target $12.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$14.44+34.3%10 analysts
$12.56our TP
$10.75price
$14.44mean
$25

Sell if holding. At $10.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.77)
Attractive valuation
Wide economic moat
Risks
Near 52-week high (5.0% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.8
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$598M
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV94%elevated
Max Pain$13+16.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.1
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.65%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.45Resistance $11.30

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 0.65%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEXN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.75, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.99. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEXN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.56 (+17.0% upside). Prior stop was $9.99. Stop-loss: $9.99.

What are the risks of investing in NEXN?

Near 52-week high (5.0% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is NEXN overvalued or undervalued?

Nexxen International Ltd. trades at a P/E of 35.8 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEXN?

6 analysts cover NEXN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Nexxen International Ltd. do?Nexxen International Ltd. provides end-to-end and video-first platform that engages advertising campaigns for brands,...

Nexxen International Ltd. provides end-to-end and video-first platform that engages advertising campaigns for brands, agencies, media groups, and content creators worldwide. It offers demand side platform, which provides a self-service solution for advertisers and their agencies to plan, activate, and manage omni-channel campaigns, access to inventory, data for audience targeting, AI planning capabilities across formats, testing solutions and reporting and management; Data Platform, provides insights and recommendations across geographic, behavioral, consumption, and demographic data, as well as enables advertisers and publishers to directly onboard, manage, plan, activate, and measure, with data from multiple sources to optimize performance and ROI; and Supply Side Platform, a self-service supply side platforms solution for publishers to sell their digital advertising inventory through a real-time bidding auction across screens, including mobile devices, CTVs, streaming devices, and desktop. The company also provides analytics and artificial intelligence services; Nexxen Discovery, an audience insight and activation product to o help customers create targeted segments, extend reach, and optimize campaigns real time; and Nexxen Studio, an in-house digital creative studio offers various creative solutions to tailored to needs of brands and agencies. It serves ad buyers, including brands and agencies, and digital publishers. The company has a strategic partnership with L2 Data to launch VoterMatch, a platform for political advertisers. The company was formerly known as Tremor International Ltd and changed its name to Nexxen International Ltd. in January 2024. Nexxen International Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

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