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NESRNational Energy Services ReunitBuy Wait6.3·$28.00-2.78%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

National Energy Services Reunited has delivered 4 consecutive earnings beats and 34% revenue growth, but its valuation is near cyclical peak levels for an oil-field services company, and thin upside margin of only 6% makes new entries unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Beat StreakStable
  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • Commodity Cycle Peak RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

National Energy Services Reunit (NESR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Wait for pullback to $25.36. At $28.00 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $25.36 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the MENA region, generating $1.324 billion in 2025 revenue almost entirely from national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait, UAE, Iraq, Algeria, Egypt, and... Read more

$28.00+11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#6 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.62%
Entry $25.36(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $22.20Target $28.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$32.43+15.8%7 analysts
$28.21our TP
$28.00price
$32.43mean
$36

Wait for pullback to $25.36. At $28.00 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $25.36 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and materials cycle peak fwd=11.6x,ratio=0.27x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.6
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth33.5%
Beta0.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 3.00%=EXTREMEMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=11.6x,ratio=0.27xMomentum 7.2>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.41Resistance $30.31

Price Targets

$22
$25
$28
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NESR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $25.36. At $28.00 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $25.36 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $28.21 (+0.8%), stop $22.20 (−26.1%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NESR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.21 (+11.3% upside). Target $28.21 (+0.8%), stop $22.20 (−26.1%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $22.20.

What are the risks of investing in NESR?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is NESR overvalued or undervalued?

National Energy Services Reunit trades at a P/E of 43.6 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NESR?

13 analysts cover NESR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does National Energy Services Reunit do?NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the...

NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the MENA region, generating $1.324 billion in 2025 revenue almost entirely from national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait, UAE, Iraq, Algeria, Egypt, and Libya. A single customer accounted for 49% of 2025 consolidated revenues, and the top four customers combined for 73%.

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