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NAVINavient CorporationSell4.9·$8.51-2.52%
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Navient Corporation (NAVI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.51: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Navient Corporation provides technology-enabled education finance for education in the United States. It operates through two segments: Federal Education Loans and Consumer Lending. The company owns and manages portfolio of private education loans; and offers education lending... Read more

$8.51+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#32 of 35 Credit Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield7.43%(5y avg 4.31%)Payout200.00%at-risk
Stop $8.01Target $8.74(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$9.44+10.9%8 analysts
$8.74our TP
$8.51price
$9.44mean
$8
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.51: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Navient Corporation

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.6% upside)
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$809M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-18.5%
ROE-2.5%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta1.21
Dividend7.43%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV127%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.4
Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
2.1
Gap
5.0

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.1
Days To Cover
1.8
Volatility
3.1
News Risk
4.0
Beta
6.2
Put Call
7.3
High short interest justified: 24%High IV: 127%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
5.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 743.0%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.4
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
8.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.46Resistance $8.92

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NAVI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.51: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $8.01. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NAVI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.74 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $8.01. Stop-loss: $8.01.

What are the risks of investing in NAVI?

Target reached (-4.6% upside); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is NAVI overvalued or undervalued?

Navient Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NAVI?

13 analysts cover NAVI with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Navient Corporation do?Navient Corporation provides technology-enabled education finance for education in the United States. It operates...

Navient Corporation provides technology-enabled education finance for education in the United States. It operates through two segments: Federal Education Loans and Consumer Lending. The company owns and manages portfolio of private education loans; and offers education lending and digital financial services, in-school student loans, and refinancing products under Earnest brand. It also owns Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans that are insured or guaranteed by state or not-for-profit agencies; and performs servicing on its portfolios, as well as federal education loans held by other institutions. Navient Corporation was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.

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