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MTZMasTec, Inc.Sell5.7·$373.43-4.40%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MasTec delivers extraordinary 34% revenue growth and a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 15%, but quality metrics remain below acceptable thresholds and momentum is insufficient to support a new position.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak PerfectStable
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $373.43: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

MasTec provides engineering, construction, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, clean energy, power delivery, pipeline, and civil infrastructure through five operating segments. The company serves telecom carriers, utilities, and energy companies primarily... Read more

$373.43+12.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#13 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.04%
Stop $347.29Target $420.53(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$467.25+25.1%20 analysts
$420.53our TP
$373.43price
$467.25mean
$108
$550

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $373.43: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — MasTec, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.4
P/E (Fwd)31.7
Mkt Cap$29.5B
EV/EBITDA26.6
Profit Mgn2.9%
ROE15.0%
Rev Growth34.5%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.2
Operating Margin
1.5
Net Margin
1.5
Roa
3.3
Roe
5.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 3% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
7.5
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $333.33Resistance $429.68

Price Targets

$347
$421
A.Upside+12.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $373.43: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $347.29. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $420.53 (+12.6% upside). Prior stop was $347.29. Stop-loss: $347.29.

What are the risks of investing in MTZ?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is MTZ overvalued or undervalued?

MasTec, Inc. trades at a P/E of 65.4 (forward 31.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTZ?

26 analysts cover MTZ with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $467.

What does MasTec, Inc. do?MasTec provides engineering, construction, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, clean energy, power...

MasTec provides engineering, construction, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, clean energy, power delivery, pipeline, and civil infrastructure through five operating segments. The company serves telecom carriers, utilities, and energy companies primarily through multi-year master service agreements, employing approximately 36,000 workers across 810 North American locations as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: DY (Dycom Industries, Inc.) · ECG (Everus Construction Group, Inc.) · AGX (Argan, Inc.) · STRL (Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.) · ROAD (Construction Partners, Inc.)
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