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MSAMSA Safety IncorporatedHold6.3·$189.13-0.34%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MSA Safety has delivered 4 consecutive earnings beats, a Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, and strong 15% operating margins, but a confirmed death cross price pattern with RSI at 32 and a flat 200-day moving average presents a significant near-term technical headwind that warrants patience before adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings QualityStable
  • High Quality Industrial BusinessStable
  • Death Cross Rsi 32Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $189.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

MSA Safety designs, manufactures, and sells safety products across detection, fire service, and industrial PPE categories through Americas and International segments, employing approximately 5,300 people as of December 31, 2025. Products are sold through more than 1,800... Read more

$189.13-3.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 10 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.32%
IncomeYield1.14%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout26.49%sustainable
Stop $176.35Target $192.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$209.14+10.6%7 analysts
$192.08our TP
$189.13price
$209.14mean
$223

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $189.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.9
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE23.7%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.14%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $168.14Resistance $196.00

Price Targets

$176
$192
A.Upside-3.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $189.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $192.08 (+1.6%), stop $176.35 (−7.2%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $192.08 (-3.8% upside). Target $192.08 (+1.6%), stop $176.35 (−7.2%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $176.35.

What are the risks of investing in MSA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

MSA Safety Incorporated trades at a P/E of 23.9 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSA?

12 analysts cover MSA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $209.

What does MSA Safety Incorporated do?MSA Safety designs, manufactures, and sells safety products across detection, fire service, and industrial PPE...

MSA Safety designs, manufactures, and sells safety products across detection, fire service, and industrial PPE categories through Americas and International segments, employing approximately 5,300 people as of December 31, 2025. Products are sold through more than 1,800 authorized distributor locations worldwide, with no individual customer exceeding 10% of annual sales.

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