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MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.Sell5.5·$31.96+0.31%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Marcus & Millichap carries a near-perfect Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 and a constructive technical breakout pattern, but the stock is priced within 3.2% of its technical resistance target, the reward-to-risk ratio stands at an unfavorable 0.51-to-1, and the dividend yield appears potentially uncovered — making the current entry unattractive on a risk-adjusted basis.

Thesis pillars

  • Unfavorable Risk Reward Near TargetStable
  • Below Minimum Business QualityStable
  • Dividend Safety ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.96: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of... Read more

$31.96-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#10 of 19 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.95%
IncomeYield1.57%Payout135.14%
Stop $30.20Target $31.48(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$28.00-12.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.96: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-25.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)35.4
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA96.8
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.1%
Rev Growth18.2%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.57%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV74%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, we earned approximately 27% of our revenue from offices in California.'
  • MEDIUMProductMMCC acquisition-financing placements42%
    10-K Item 1: 'During 2025, approximately 42% of MMCC’s revenue came from placing acquisition financing, 33% from refinancing activities, and 25% from other financing activities.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
3.6
Moat
6.5
Current Ratio
8.9
Piotroski F
8.9
Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
0.7
52w Position
9.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.72Resistance $32.12

Price Targets

$30
$31
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MMI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.96: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $30.20. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.48 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $30.20. Stop-loss: $30.20.

What are the risks of investing in MMI?

Target reached (-25.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is MMI overvalued or undervalued?

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 35.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MMI?

9 analysts cover MMI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Marcus & Millichap, Inc. do?Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client...

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of 2025 revenue, more than any other state, and the business depends on retaining independent-contractor investment sales and financing professionals.

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