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MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.Hold6.6·$31.58-0.60%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Marcus & Millichap carries a near-perfect Piotroski financial strength score of 8 out of 9 and a constructive technical breakout pattern, but the stock is priced within 3.2% of its technical resistance target, the reward-to-risk ratio stands at an unfavorable 0.51-to-1, and the dividend yield appears potentially uncovered — making the current entry unattractive on a risk-adjusted basis.

Thesis pillars

  • Unfavorable Risk Reward Near TargetImproving
  • Below Minimum Business QualityDeteriorating
  • Dividend Safety ConcernImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of... Read more

$31.58-24.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 17 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.71%
IncomeYield1.58%Payout135.14%
Stop $29.62Target $36.32(default +15%)A.R:R -3.9:1
Analyst target$28.00-11.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)85.4
P/E (Fwd)34.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA50.6
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth17.8%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.58%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV99%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, we earned approximately 27% of our revenue from offices in California.'
  • MEDIUMProductMMCC acquisition-financing placements42%
    10-K Item 1: 'During 2025, approximately 42% of MMCC’s revenue came from placing acquisition financing, 33% from refinancing activities, and 25% from other financing activities.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -3.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.56Resistance $32.70

Price Targets

$30
$36
A.Upside-24.6%
A.R:R-3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MMI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $36.32 (+15.0%), stop $29.62 (−6.6%), A.R:R -3.9:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.32 (-24.6% upside). Target $36.32 (+15.0%), stop $29.62 (−6.6%), A.R:R -3.9:1. Stop-loss: $29.62.

What are the risks of investing in MMI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MMI overvalued or undervalued?

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. trades at a P/E of 85.4 (forward 34.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MMI?

9 analysts cover MMI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Marcus & Millichap, Inc. do?Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client...

Marcus & Millichap is a commercial real estate brokerage and financing services firm focused on the private client market ($1-10 million transactions), earning commissions on property sales and fees through its MMCC financing subsidiary. California generated approximately 27% of 2025 revenue, more than any other state, and the business depends on retaining independent-contractor investment sales and financing professionals.

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