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MECMayville Engineering Company, ISell4.6·$33.55-4.71%
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Mayville Engineering Company, I (MEC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.55: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, design, prototyping and tooling, fabrication, aluminum extrusion, coating, and assembling of aftermarket components in the United States. It supplies engineered components to original... Read more

$33.55+13.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#10 of 11 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield1.65%
Stop $31.20Target $37.98(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$33.70+0.4%5 analysts
$37.98our TP
$33.55price
$33.70mean
$30
$40

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.55: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.6% upside)
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)28.6
Mkt Cap$855M
EV/EBITDA25.2
Profit Mgn-2.9%
ROE-6.8%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
5.9
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
1.0
Value Rank
6.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.33%=HEAVYNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.06Resistance $38.76

Price Targets

$31
$38
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MEC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.55: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.20. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MEC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.98 (+13.2% upside). Prior stop was $31.20. Stop-loss: $31.20.

What are the risks of investing in MEC?

Target reached (-12.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is MEC overvalued or undervalued?

Mayville Engineering Company, I trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 28.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MEC?

9 analysts cover MEC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Mayville Engineering Company, I do?Mayville Engineering Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, design, prototyping and...

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, design, prototyping and tooling, fabrication, aluminum extrusion, coating, and assembling of aftermarket components in the United States. It supplies engineered components to original equipment manufacturers. The company serves heavy and medium duty commercial vehicles, construction and access equipment, powersports, data center and critical power, agriculture, military, and other end markets. Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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