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MDAMDA Space Ltd.Sell4.8·$40.65+2.91%
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MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and... Read more

$40.65+0.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#55 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
Stop $37.90Target $41.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$43.66+7.4%3 analysts
$41.09our TP
$40.65price
$43.66mean
$39
$51

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)72.8
P/E (Fwd)34.7
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
2.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $35.08Resistance $41.93

Price Targets

$38
$41
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MDA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $37.90. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.09 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $37.90. Stop-loss: $37.90.

What are the risks of investing in MDA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is MDA overvalued or undervalued?

MDA Space Ltd. trades at a P/E of 72.8 (forward 34.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MDA?

17 analysts cover MDA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does MDA Space Ltd. do?MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle...

MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and IoT connectivity; MDA AURORA, a software-defined digital satellite product line; and autonomous robotics systems and services used to operate in space and on the surfaces of the Moon and Mars. The company also provides robotic systems, robotic interfaces, tooling, robotic ground control stations, and operations services; electro-optic and light detection and ranging sensors, vision and targeting systems, guidance, navigation, and control subsystems and planetary rover locomotion subsystems; MDA SKYMAKER, a suite of scalable and modular space robotics; and Canadarm3, a robotics system. In addition, it offers satellite-generated imagery and data to deliver critical and value-added insights for end users, such as national security, climate change monitoring, and maritime surveillance; collection, processing, and dissemination of Earth imagery data from space; defense command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions, including command and control systems and airborne surveillance solutions; aeronautical navigation information solutions; and long endurance uncrewed aerial vehicle surveillance services. Further, operates as an owner and operator of the RADARSAT-2 Earth observation satellite; and is involved in the operation of MDA CHORUS, an Earth observation mission. It serves governments and space agencies, commercial space companies, and defense and aerospace prime contractors in the space industry. The company was formerly known as MDA Ltd. and changed its name to MDA Space Ltd. in May 2024. MDA Space Ltd. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada.

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