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MAMAMama's Creations, Inc.Buy Wait6.5·$16.50+5.57%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mama's Creations has posted a perfect 4-quarter EPS beat streak with 50% YoY growth and positive momentum, but a rich forward P/E and a stock price already near its analyst target limit the near-term reward relative to the risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Momentum OverboughtImproving
  • Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Rich Forward ValuationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mama's Creations, Inc. (MAMA) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Earnings in 0 days (2026-09-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $16.04. BUY gates pass at $16.50, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $16.04 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta, and salads, sold under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands to over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores... Read more

$16.50+22.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.72%
Entry $16.04(support + ATR (held))Stop $14.69Target $19.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$22.43+35.9%7 analysts
$19.51our TP
$16.50price
$22.43mean
$25

Wait for pullback to $16.04. BUY gates pass at $16.50, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $16.04 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Mama's Creations, Inc.

About Mama's Creations, Inc.

Mama's Creations sells fresh deli-prepared foods - meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta and rice entrees, salads, and olives - under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands, reaching over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores nationwide. Two customers accounted for approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales, respectively, in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, and the company's roughly 582 employees operate manufacturing facilities including a shared Farmingdale, New York plant for Olive Branch and T&L Creative Salads.

Mama's Creations sells almost entirely through a commission broker network to large retail chains and food distributors at premium prices, typically $7.99 to $9.99 per pound for fresh prepared foods sold in deli and hot-bar sections. The company has grown mainly through acquisitions - T&L Creative Salads and Olive Branch in 2021, Chef Inspirational Foods in 2022-2023, and the $17.3 million Crown 1 Business purchase in September 2025 - to build toward a stated goal of $1 billion in sales as a one-stop-shop deli supplier. Almost all products are manufactured internally, with raw materials, including tomatoes, onions, poultry, and meats, sourced domestically, and the company holds a 50-year exclusive license (with a 25-year extension option) from founder Dan Dougherty for the MamaMancini's family recipes that underpin its core product line.

Show full overview

Mama's Creations' revenue is unusually concentrated for a packaged-food company of its scale: two customers made up approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, up from a single customer at 44% the year before, and the 10-K warns that industry consolidation and the growing bargaining power of large-format retailers and e-commerce platforms could let these customers demand lower prices, higher promotional allowances, or reduced shelf space. Because finished-goods inventory sits in only a small number of warehouse facilities, a disruption at a single site combined with the loss of either top customer would compound quickly, a risk the company has not yet diversified away even as it pursues its $1 billion revenue ambition.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

From Mama's Creations, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)104.2
P/E (Fwd)52.1
Mkt Cap$727M
EV/EBITDA41.5
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth49.7%
Beta0.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV91%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.1>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.29Resistance $18.65

Price Targets

$15
$16
$20
A.Upside+22.3%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAMA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $16.04. BUY gates pass at $16.50, but v7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $16.04 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $19.51 (+18.2%), stop $14.69 (−12.3%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.51 (+22.3% upside). Target $19.51 (+18.2%), stop $14.69 (−12.3%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $14.69.

What are the risks of investing in MAMA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Is MAMA overvalued or undervalued?

Mama's Creations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 104.2 (forward 52.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MAMA?

14 analysts cover MAMA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Mama's Creations, Inc. do?Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta,...

Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta, and salads, sold under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands to over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores nationally. Products are sold primarily through a commission broker network to large retail chains and food distributors, with two customers accounting for approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. The company pursues a one-stop-shop deli strategy, targeting $1 billion in sales t

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