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LUCKLUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORPSell5.1·$6.96+2.05%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lucky Strike carries compounding headwinds — three of the last four reported quarters missed by wide margins including consecutive massive negative surprises, a confirmed technical downtrend with a death cross in place, 32% short interest, and a reward-to-risk ratio below 0.5 — making the current setup unattractive from both a fundamental and risk/reward standpoint.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Upside Unfavorable GeometryDeteriorating
  • Persistent Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Technical BreakdownImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP (LUCK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.96: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.62; Below-average business quality.

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates more than 360 location-based entertainment venues across North America, including bowling centers, family entertainment centers, water parks, and amusement venues under brands such as Lucky Strike, Bowlero, AMF, and Boomers Parks.... Read more

$6.96+24.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.08%
IncomeYield3.42%Payout981.44%at-risk
Stop $6.47Target $8.65(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$9.94+42.8%8 analysts
$8.65our TP
$6.96price
$9.94mean
$6
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.96: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP

Latest news

Generated 2026-08-15T08:37:17Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)49.9
Mkt Cap$930M
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn-6.8%
ROE
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta0.62
Dividend3.42%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.63bearish
IV109%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02LOW
    Bobby Lavan, CFO since 2023, was promoted to also serve as President effective June 8, 2026, taking over the President title from Founder/Chairman/CEO Thomas Shannon; base salary raised to $850,000. Routine promotion, no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Put Call
2.5
Volatility
3.5
Beta
9.3
High short interest: 27%Elevated put/call: 1.62High IV: 109%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 3.4%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.3
Bollinger
4.0
Support Resistance
5.2
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.52Resistance $7.43

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+24.2%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LUCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.96: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Prior stop was $6.47. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LUCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.65 (+24.2% upside). Prior stop was $6.47. Stop-loss: $6.47.

What are the risks of investing in LUCK?

Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is LUCK overvalued or undervalued?

LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 49.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LUCK?

17 analysts cover LUCK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $10.

What does LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP do?Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates more than 360 location-based entertainment venues across North America,...

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates more than 360 location-based entertainment venues across North America, including bowling centers, family entertainment centers, water parks, and amusement venues under brands such as Lucky Strike, Bowlero, AMF, and Boomers Parks. The company earns revenue from bowling, food and beverage, amusements, group events, and its Professional Bowlers Association tournament and broadcasting operations, employing approximately 12,565 people as of June 29, 2025. Lucky Strike has acquired 75 venues since fiscal 2022, growing through both new locations and in

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