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LPLALPL Financial Holdings Inc.Sell5.9·$297.44+0.60%
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LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $297.44: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

LPL Financial is the nation's largest independent broker-dealer and a leading RIA custodian, supporting 32,000+ financial advisors and ~1,200 financial institutions with $2.4T in brokerage and advisory assets. Revenue comes from advisory fees, commissions, client cash program... Read more

$297.44+21.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#19 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.41%(5y avg 0.47%)Payout10.80%sustainable
Stop $276.70Target $362.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$416.50+40.0%14 analysts
$362.36our TP
$297.44price
$416.50mean
$542

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $297.44: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$23.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth35.0%
Beta0.51
Dividend0.41%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$450+51.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
2.2
52w Position
4.8
Gap
5.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $260.15Resistance $308.06

Price Targets

$277
$362
A.Upside+21.8%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts22
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$417

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LPLA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $297.44: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $276.70. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LPLA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $362.36 (+21.8% upside). Prior stop was $276.70. Stop-loss: $276.70.

What are the risks of investing in LPLA?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is LPLA overvalued or undervalued?

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LPLA?

22 analysts cover LPLA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $417.

What does LPL Financial Holdings Inc. do?LPL Financial is the nation's largest independent broker-dealer and a leading RIA custodian, supporting 32,000+...

LPL Financial is the nation's largest independent broker-dealer and a leading RIA custodian, supporting 32,000+ financial advisors and ~1,200 financial institutions with $2.4T in brokerage and advisory assets. Revenue comes from advisory fees, commissions, client cash program fees, and service fees; no single advisor or institution accounted for more than 2% of advisory and commission revenue in 2025.

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