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LOMALoma Negra Compania Industrial Sell6.0·$9.44-0.63%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This building materials company offers an optically attractive forward valuation, but the investment case is undermined by free cash flow that is deeply negative relative to reported net income, two consecutive significant earnings misses, and a quality profile that falls below the minimum threshold — factors that together support exiting the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Optically Attractive ValuationImproving
  • Deeply Negative Free Cash FlowStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Loma Negra Compania Industrial (LOMA) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.44: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement and its derivatives in Argentina. It operates through Cement, Masonry Cement, and Lime; Concrete; Railroad; Aggregates; and Others segments. The company... Read more

$9.44+35.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 14 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-3071.81%
Stop $8.95Target $12.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$14.70+55.7%5 analysts
$12.79our TP
$9.44price
$14.70mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.44: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 17, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — Loma Negra Compania Industrial

Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.8
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA1.6
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE3.8%
Rev Growth21.9%
Beta0.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
6.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.3
Roe
1.3
Roa
1.8
Operating Margin
2.4
Net Margin
2.6
Moat
6.4
Current Ratio
7.8
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -77% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
17 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.23Resistance $12.37

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+35.5%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LOMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.44: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 17, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $8.95. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LOMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.79 (+35.5% upside). Prior stop was $8.95. Stop-loss: $8.95.

What are the risks of investing in LOMA?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is LOMA overvalued or undervalued?

Loma Negra Compania Industrial trades at a P/E of 37.8 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LOMA?

9 analysts cover LOMA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Loma Negra Compania Industrial do?Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells...

Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement and its derivatives in Argentina. It operates through Cement, Masonry Cement, and Lime; Concrete; Railroad; Aggregates; and Others segments. The company offers masonry cement, aggregates, ready-mix concrete, concrete, and lime to wholesale distributors, concrete producers, industrial customers, and others. It also provides rail transportation services; and treats and recycles industrial waste for use as fuel and raw material. It markets its products under the Loma Negra, Plasticor, Cacique Max, Loma Negra Plus, and Lomax brands. Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima was incorporated in 1926 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima operates as a subsidiary of Intercement Trading E Inversiones Argentina Sociedad Limitada.

Related stocks: CPAC (Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.) · TTAM (Titan America SA) · USLM (United States Lime & Minerals, ) · TGLS (Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.) · EXP (Eagle Materials Inc)
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