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LEGHLegacy Housing CorporationSell6.6·$29.40+1.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Legacy Housing screens as attractively valued with strong margins and a breakout technical setup, but revenue is declining, an earnings-quality red flag shows weak cash conversion, and the stock has already reached its price target with an unfavorable stated risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Quality Cash Conversion FlagImproving
  • Attractive ValuationImproving
  • Declining Revenue Weak GrowthImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.40 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent retailers and company-owned stores and also sold directly to manufactured home communities. The company was founded in 2005, and our corporate office is located... Read more

$29.40-30.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 19 Residential Construction
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.36%
Stop $27.46Target $30.71(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$24.00-18.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.40 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14

Recent Developments — Legacy Housing Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jul 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: **Exhibit No.** | **​ ​ ​** | **Description** 99.1 | ​ | [Letter of Curtis D. Hodgson to the Board of Directors, dated July 17, 2026](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1436208/000110465926085476/legh-20260717xex99d1.htm) 104 | ​ | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline...

Generated 2026-08-14T16:42:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$692M
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn28.6%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth32.3%
Beta0.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$25-15.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    **Exhibit No.** | **​ ​ ​** | **Description** 99.1 | ​ | [Letter of Curtis D. Hodgson to the Board of Directors, dated July 17, 2026](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1436208/000110465926085476/legh-20260717xex99d1.htm) 104 | ​ | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.26Resistance $31.34

Price Targets

$27
$31
A.Upside-30.9%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-30.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEGH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.40 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.46. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEGH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.71 (-30.9% upside). Prior stop was $27.46. Stop-loss: $27.46.

What are the risks of investing in LEGH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LEGH overvalued or undervalued?

Legacy Housing Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEGH?

9 analysts cover LEGH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Legacy Housing Corporation do?We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent...

We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent retailers and company-owned stores and also sold directly to manufactured home communities. The company was founded in 2005, and our corporate office is located in Bedford, Texas (between Dallas and Fort Worth). We completed our initial public offering in December 2018 and our common stock trades on The Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol "LEGH."

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.) · LGIH (LGI Homes, Inc.) · GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In)
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