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LAZLazard, Inc.Sell6.2·$44.90+1.91%
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Lazard, Inc. (LAZ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.90 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at... Read more

$44.90+0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#11 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.54%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout79.37%
Stop $41.76Target $45.24(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$52.00+15.8%8 analysts
$45.24our TP
$44.90price
$52.00mean
$40
$62

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.90 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE34.3%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta1.41
Dividend4.54%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$75+67.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop ten Financial Advisory clients17%
    10-K Item 1: 'the ten largest fee paying clients constituted approximately 17% of our Financial Advisory segment net revenue'
  • LOWCustomertop ten Asset Management clients24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten clients accounted for 24% of our total assets under management'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.60Resistance $50.58

Price Targets

$42
$45
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.8% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.90 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $41.76. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.24 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $41.76. Stop-loss: $41.76.

What are the risks of investing in LAZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is LAZ overvalued or undervalued?

Lazard, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LAZ?

15 analysts cover LAZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $52.

What does Lazard, Inc. do?Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and...

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at December 31, 2025; Financial Advisory fees are earned upon transaction completion while Asset Management fees are based on AUM market value.

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