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LAZLazard, Inc.Sell6.4·$43.39+5.57%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lazard combines a wide economic moat, a return on equity of 34%, and a compelling valuation at 10x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.16, but the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend—death cross, below all moving averages—and the dividend yield has been flagged as potentially unsafe, making the near-term risk/reward unfavorable despite the underlying quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Forward Pe 10x
  • Wide Moat Strong Quality Base
  • Confirmed Technical Downtrend
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lazard, Inc. (LAZ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at... Read more

$43.39-0.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#12 of 49 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.83%(5y avg 4.83%)Payout79.37%
Stop $40.35Target $45.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$49.63+14.4%8 analysts
$45.61our TP
$43.39price
$49.63mean
$40
$62

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.4
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE34.3%
Rev Growth15.4%
Beta1.42
Dividend4.83%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV100%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop ten Financial Advisory clients17%
    10-K Item 1: 'the ten largest fee paying clients constituted approximately 17% of our Financial Advisory segment net revenue'
  • LOWCustomertop ten Asset Management clients24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten clients accounted for 24% of our total assets under management'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.04Resistance $46.54

Price Targets

$40
$46
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LAZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $43.39 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $40.35. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LAZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.61 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $40.35. Stop-loss: $40.35.

What are the risks of investing in LAZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is LAZ overvalued or undervalued?

Lazard, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LAZ?

15 analysts cover LAZ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Lazard, Inc. do?Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and...

Founded in 1848, Lazard provides M&A, restructuring, and sovereign advisory through its Financial Advisory segment and active investment management through its Asset Management segment, with operations across more than 30 countries. The firm employed 3,309 full-time staff at December 31, 2025; Financial Advisory fees are earned upon transaction completion while Asset Management fees are based on AUM market value.

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