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KLARKlarna Group plcSell6.2·$14.40+0.03%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Klarna is expanding revenue at 44% year over year and is priced attractively on a growth-adjusted basis with a price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.13, but the business is burning cash at a rate equal to 42% of revenue, overall quality sits well below the minimum acceptable threshold, and the combination of 11% short interest and a put/call ratio of 1.84 reflects broad market skepticism about the near-term outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Sustainability RiskStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Growth Adjusted Valuation DiscountStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Klarna Group plc (KLAR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.40: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides payment solutions, such as pay in full solution that settles purchases at time of the transaction; pay... Read more

$14.40+25.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#13 of 35 Credit Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.61%
Stop $13.42Target $18.06(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$20.07+39.3%20 analysts
$18.06our TP
$14.40price
$20.07mean
$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.40: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)18.0
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA-131.3
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-4.3%
Rev Growth26.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.2
Volume
3.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -13.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.2
Gross Margin
3.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.84Resistance $20.99

Price Targets

$13
$18
A.Upside+25.3%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KLAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.40: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $13.42. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KLAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.06 (+25.3% upside). Prior stop was $13.42. Stop-loss: $13.42.

What are the risks of investing in KLAR?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is KLAR overvalued or undervalued?

Klarna Group plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KLAR?

29 analysts cover KLAR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Klarna Group plc do?Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States,...

Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides payment solutions, such as pay in full solution that settles purchases at time of the transaction; pay later solution that enables customers to purchase goods and services at the time of the transaction and pay the full amount at a later date; and fair financing that allows consumers to pay for their purchase over a long duration ranges from three to 48 months. It also offers advertising solutions that include sponsored search, affiliate programs, and brand advertisement; digital retail banking solutions, such as deposit and saving account, financial insights, and Klarna balance that allow consumer to hold monetary balance with Klarna balance solutions; and payment channels, including Klarna payment, Klarna app, Klarna card, and Klarna in-store. Additionally, the company provides membership programs, product search and price comparison, cashback offers and merchant deals, loyalty cards, wish lists, delivery tracking and returns, AI-enabled support, Klarna memberships, Klarna merchant portal, and on-site messaging solutions. The company was formerly known as Klarna UK II plc and changed its name to Klarna Group plc in December 2023. Klarna Group plc was founded in 2005 and is based in London, United Kingdom.

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