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KLARKlarna Group plcSell6.6·$13.89
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Klarna is expanding revenue at 44% year over year and is priced attractively on a growth-adjusted basis with a price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.13, but the business is burning cash at a rate equal to 42% of revenue, overall quality sits well below the minimum acceptable threshold, and the combination of 11% short interest and a put/call ratio of 1.84 reflects broad market skepticism about the near-term outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Sustainability Risk→Stable
  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Growth Adjusted Valuation Discount↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Klarna Group plc (KLAR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.89: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company offers payment solutions, such as pay in full solution that settles purchases at time of the transaction; pay... Read more

$13.89+25.0% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#7 of 34 Credit Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15.16%
Stop $12.92Analyst target $17.36(−10% haircut)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst consensus$19.29+38.9%22 analysts with price targets
$17.36Analyst target
$13.89price
$19.29mean
$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.89: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Klarna Group plc

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA-121.5
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-4.3%
Rev Growth26.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
1.5
Gap
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.2
Gross Margin
3.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Quality concerns
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.39Resistance $14.15

Price Targets

$13
$17
A.Upside+25.0%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KLAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.89: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $12.92. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KLAR stock price target?

Analyst target: $17.36 (+25.0% upside). Prior stop was $12.92. Stop-loss: $12.92.

What are the risks of investing in KLAR?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is KLAR overvalued or undervalued?

Klarna Group plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KLAR?

31 analysts rate KLAR, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 22 analysts publish price targets averaging $19.

What does Klarna Group plc do?Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States,...

Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company offers payment solutions, such as pay in full solution that settles purchases at time of the transaction; pay later solution that enables customers to purchase goods and services at the time of the transaction and pay the full amount at a later date; and fair financing that allows consumers to pay for their purchase over a long duration. It also provides advertising solutions that include sponsored search, affiliate programs, and brand advertisement; digital retail banking solutions, such as deposit and saving account, financial insights, and Klarna balance that allow consumer to hold monetary balance with Klarna balance solutions; and payment channels, including Klarna payment, Klarna app, Klarna card, and Klarna in-store. In addition, the company offers membership programs, product search and price comparison, cashback offers and merchant deals, loyalty cards, wish lists, delivery tracking and returns, AI-enabled support, Klarna memberships, Klarna merchant portal, and on-site messaging solutions. The company was formerly known as Klarna UK II plc and changed its name to Klarna Group plc in December 2023. Klarna Group plc was founded in 2005 and is based in London, United Kingdom.

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