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KLARKlarna Group plcSell6.5·$13.51
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Klarna is expanding revenue at 44% year over year and is priced attractively on a growth-adjusted basis with a price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.13, but the business is burning cash at a rate equal to 42% of revenue, overall quality sits well below the minimum acceptable threshold, and the combination of 11% short interest and a put/call ratio of 1.84 reflects broad market skepticism about the near-term outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Sustainability Risk→Stable
  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Growth Adjusted Valuation Discount→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Klarna Group plc (KLAR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.51: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company offers payment solutions, such as pay in full solution that settles purchases at time of the transaction; pay... Read more

$13.51+28.9% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#9 of 34 Credit Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15.59%
Stop $12.63Target $17.41(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$19.35+43.2%21 analysts
$17.41our TP
$13.51price
$19.35mean
$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.51: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA-114.3
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-4.3%
Rev Growth26.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.3
Support Resistance
3.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.2
Gross Margin
3.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.28Resistance $14.15

Price Targets

$13
$17
A.Upside+28.9%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KLAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.51: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $12.63. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KLAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.41 (+28.9% upside). Prior stop was $12.63. Stop-loss: $12.63.

What are the risks of investing in KLAR?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is KLAR overvalued or undervalued?

Klarna Group plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KLAR?

29 analysts cover KLAR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Klarna Group plc do?Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States,...

Klarna Group plc operates as a digital bank and flexible payments provider in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Sweden, and internationally. The company offers payment solutions, such as pay in full solution that settles purchases at time of the transaction; pay later solution that enables customers to purchase goods and services at the time of the transaction and pay the full amount at a later date; and fair financing that allows consumers to pay for their purchase over a long duration. It also provides advertising solutions that include sponsored search, affiliate programs, and brand advertisement; digital retail banking solutions, such as deposit and saving account, financial insights, and Klarna balance that allow consumer to hold monetary balance with Klarna balance solutions; and payment channels, including Klarna payment, Klarna app, Klarna card, and Klarna in-store. In addition, the company offers membership programs, product search and price comparison, cashback offers and merchant deals, loyalty cards, wish lists, delivery tracking and returns, AI-enabled support, Klarna memberships, Klarna merchant portal, and on-site messaging solutions. The company was formerly known as Klarna UK II plc and changed its name to Klarna Group plc in December 2023. Klarna Group plc was founded in 2005 and is based in London, United Kingdom.

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