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KEPKorea Electric Power CorporatioSell4.9·$12.06+3.97%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A forward price-to-earnings ratio of 3.5x and a recent earnings beat of 16.2% reflect genuine underlying value, but the stock has nearly reached its analyst target — leaving only 0.2% of headroom — and high leverage at a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.6 reduces financial cushion if the earnings recovery stalls.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Near Analyst TargetStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak DeliveryDeteriorating
  • High Leverage Limits FlexibilityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Korea Electric Power Corporatio (KEP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueShortModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.06: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.67; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Korea Electric Power Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electricity Sales, Nuclear Power Generation, Thermal Power... Read more

$12.06+6.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#29 of 41 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield4479.36%
IncomeYield4.50%(5y avg 2.91%)Payout12.31%sustainable
Stop $11.40Target $12.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$15.00+24.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.06: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.67; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202668d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.6
P/E (Fwd)4.3
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE16.6%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta0.81
Dividend4.50%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C11.67bearish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.7
Current Ratio
1.8
Operating Margin
1.9
Roa
2.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
3.6
Net Margin
4.0
Roe
5.5
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 9% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.3
Bollinger
3.3
Gap
4.0
Support Resistance
4.4
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.15Resistance $12.68

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside+6.2%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.06: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.67; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $11.40. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+6.2% upside). Prior stop was $11.40. Stop-loss: $11.40.

What are the risks of investing in KEP?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow.

Is KEP overvalued or undervalued?

Korea Electric Power Corporatio trades at a P/E of 2.6 (forward 4.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KEP?

28 analysts cover KEP with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Korea Electric Power Corporatio do?Korea Electric Power Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and...

Korea Electric Power Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electricity Sales, Nuclear Power Generation, Thermal Power Generation, Power Support, and Other. It builds and operates overhead and underground transmission power grids; offers digital substations, grid stabilization equipment, and predictive diagnostic system; high voltage direct current transmission; distribution network construction, distributed energy, and smart distribution network; power outage prevention, insulated sticks, and scheduled power shutdowns; and smart metering service. The company also engages in electricity sale and demand management; electric vehicle charging; microgrid; urban energy planning platform; solar power generation projects; and clean hydrogen businesses, as well as research and development. In addition, it is involved in thermal, nuclear, wind, solar, and hydro power generation; power grid consulting/EPC projects; HVDC submarine transmission; power plant engineering and maintenance; nuclear fuel design and manufacturing; power IT services; investment activities; coal ash industrial materials resource manufacturing; facility management and service; wood pellet utilization; and securitization. The company was formerly known as Korea Electric Company and changed its name to Korea Electric Power Corporation in January 1982. Korea Electric Power Corporation was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Naju-si, South Korea.

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