JBG Smith trades at a moderate FFO-based valuation and remains free-cash-flow positive, but quality screens below the minimum bar, the stated risk/reward has turned negative after the stock reached its price target, and momentum still shows a confirmed downtrend with elevated short interest.
Thesis pillars
- Moderate Ffo Valuation→Stable
- Positive Free Cash Flow Generation→Stable
- Negative Asymmetry Target Reached→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.32: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.75; Below-average business quality.
JBG SMITH Properties owns, operates, and develops mixed-use properties concentrated in amenity-rich, Metro-served submarkets. The markets are in and around Washington, DC, most notably National Landing, where through our focus on placemaking, they cultivate vibrant, highly... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.32: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -22.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.32: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $14.31. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.37 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $14.31. Stop-loss: $14.31.
Target reached (-16.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
JBG SMITH Properties trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover JBGS with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $15.
What does JBG SMITH Properties do?JBG SMITH Properties owns, operates, and develops mixed-use properties concentrated in amenity-rich, Metro-served...
JBG SMITH Properties owns, operates, and develops mixed-use properties concentrated in amenity-rich, Metro-served submarkets. The markets are in and around Washington, DC, most notably National Landing, where through our focus on placemaking, they cultivate vibrant, highly amenitized, walkable neighborhoods. JBG SMITH Properties has a portfolio comprised of 12.0 million square feet at share of multifamily, office, and retail assets, and a 3.6 million square-foot development pipeline. JBG SMITH Properties was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Bethesda, United States.