Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (ESRT) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified
Sell if holding. At $5.53, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).
Empire State Realty Trust is a NYC-focused REIT owning ~7.9M sq ft of office, ~0.8M sq ft of retail, and 743 residential units, all located in Manhattan. Revenue comes from rents and Observatory ticket sales ($128.3M Observatory revenue in 2025); the Empire State Building alone... Read more
Sell if holding. At $5.53, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.
Latest news
- Empire State Realty Trust (NYSE:ESRT) Announces Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Empire State Realty (ESRT) Maintains 2026 Core FFO Forecast - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT) Q1 2026: EPS $0.01, Revenue $19 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- ESRT Sees Q1 Revenue Reach $190.3 Million - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Empire State Realty Reports Solid Q1 Results, Reaffirms Outlook - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $5.53, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.17. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $5.75 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $5.17. Stop-loss: $5.17.
Thin upside margin: 4.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.9 (forward 90.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover ESRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $7.
What does Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. do?Empire State Realty Trust is a NYC-focused REIT owning ~7.9M sq ft of office, ~0.8M sq ft of retail, and 743...
Empire State Realty Trust is a NYC-focused REIT owning ~7.9M sq ft of office, ~0.8M sq ft of retail, and 743 residential units, all located in Manhattan. Revenue comes from rents and Observatory ticket sales ($128.3M Observatory revenue in 2025); the Empire State Building alone accounts for ~32.3% of portfolio rental revenues, with three properties together generating ~55.6%.