Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (ESRT) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified
Sell if holding. At $5.35, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).
Empire State Realty Trust is a NYC-focused REIT owning ~7.9M sq ft of office, ~0.8M sq ft of retail, and 743 residential units, all located in Manhattan. Revenue comes from rents and Observatory ticket sales ($128.3M Observatory revenue in 2025); the Empire State Building alone... Read more
Sell if holding. At $5.35, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Empire State Realty Trust (NYSE:ESRT) Announces Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Empire State Realty (ESRT) Maintains 2026 Core FFO Forecast - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT) Q1 2026: EPS $0.01, Revenue $19 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS ESRT Sees Q1 Revenue Reach $190.3 Million - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Empire State Realty Reports Solid Q1 Results, Reaffirms Outlook - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Generated 2026-06-09T22:11:39Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $5.35, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.06. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $5.61 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $5.06. Stop-loss: $5.06.
Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 87.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover ESRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $6.
What does Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. do?Empire State Realty Trust is a NYC-focused REIT owning ~7.9M sq ft of office, ~0.8M sq ft of retail, and 743...
Empire State Realty Trust is a NYC-focused REIT owning ~7.9M sq ft of office, ~0.8M sq ft of retail, and 743 residential units, all located in Manhattan. Revenue comes from rents and Observatory ticket sales ($128.3M Observatory revenue in 2025); the Empire State Building alone accounts for ~32.3% of portfolio rental revenues, with three properties together generating ~55.6%.