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OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.Sell6.2·$24.00+1.74%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

One Liberty Properties shows strong cash-conversion quality and a technical breakout, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target, and a flagged dividend safety concern alongside modest insider selling add caution to the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Insider Selling SignalStable
  • Strong Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Technical Breakout MomentumStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%).

One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns and manages a geographically diversified portfolio consisting primarily of industrial properties. As of December 31, 2025, OLP owns 103 properties, including a... Read more

$24.00-4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 13 REIT - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.38%
IncomeYield7.63%(5y avg 7.48%)Payout113.92%
Stop $22.73Target $25.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$26.83+11.8%3 analysts
$25.36our TP
$24.00price
$26.83mean
$29

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)114.0
Mkt Cap$523M
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn33.9%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.90
Dividend7.63%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV108%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyindustrial81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 80.9% and 14.6% of our 2026 base rent is derived from industrial and retail tenants, respectively'
  • LOWPropertyretail15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 80.9% and 14.6% of our 2026 base rent is derived from industrial and retail tenants, respectively'
  • MEDIUMGeographicsix states52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 51.5% of our 2026 base rent is derived from properties located in six states — South Carolina (12.8%), Pennsylvania (10.8%), New York (8.5%), Texas (7.1%), Iowa (6.6%) and Alabama (5.7%)'
  • LOWTenantsix tenants22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 21.7% of our 2026 base rent is derived from six tenants.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.28Resistance $25.88

Price Targets

$23
$25
A.Upside-4.8%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.73. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.36 (-4.8% upside). Prior stop was $22.73. Stop-loss: $22.73.

What are the risks of investing in OLP?

Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is OLP overvalued or undervalued?

One Liberty Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 114.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OLP?

7 analysts cover OLP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $27.

What does One Liberty Properties, Inc. do?One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns...

One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns and manages a geographically diversified portfolio consisting primarily of industrial properties. As of December 31, 2025, OLP owns 103 properties, including a property owned by a consolidated joint venture. The 103 properties are in 30 states. One Liberty Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Great Neck, United States.

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