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OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.Sell6.0·$22.16
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

One Liberty Properties shows strong cash-conversion quality and a technical breakout, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target, and a flagged dividend safety concern alongside modest insider selling add caution to the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Insider Selling Signal→Stable
  • Strong Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Technical Breakout Momentum→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Sell if holding. At $22.16, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%).

One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns and manages a geographically diversified portfolio consisting primarily of industrial properties. As of December 31, 2025, OLP owns 103 properties, including a... Read more

$22.16+4.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 13 REIT - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.11%
IncomeYield8.18%(5y avg 7.41%)Payout113.92%
Stop $21.36Target $23.09(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$27.17+22.6%3 analysts
$23.09our TP
$22.16price
$27.17mean
$29

Sell if holding. At $22.16, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%)
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)57.8
Mkt Cap$481M
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn33.9%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.91
Dividend8.18%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV133%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyindustrial81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 80.9% and 14.6% of our 2026 base rent is derived from industrial and retail tenants, respectively'
  • LOWPropertyretail15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 80.9% and 14.6% of our 2026 base rent is derived from industrial and retail tenants, respectively'
  • MEDIUMGeographicsix states52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 51.5% of our 2026 base rent is derived from properties located in six states — South Carolina (12.8%), Pennsylvania (10.8%), New York (8.5%), Texas (7.1%), Iowa (6.6%) and Alabama (5.7%)'
  • LOWTenantsix tenants22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 21.7% of our 2026 base rent is derived from six tenants.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.57Resistance $22.96

Price Targets

$21
$23
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $22.16, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.36. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the OLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.09 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $21.36. Stop-loss: $21.36.

What are the risks of investing in OLP?

Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%); Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is OLP overvalued or undervalued?

One Liberty Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 57.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OLP?

7 analysts cover OLP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $27.

What does One Liberty Properties, Inc. do?One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns...

One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns and manages a geographically diversified portfolio consisting primarily of industrial properties. As of December 31, 2025, OLP owns 103 properties, including a property owned by a consolidated joint venture. The 103 properties are in 30 states. One Liberty Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Great Neck, United States.

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