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OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.Buy Wait5.8·$22.31
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

One Liberty Properties shows strong cash-conversion quality and a technical breakout, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target, and a flagged dividend safety concern alongside modest insider selling add caution to the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Insider Selling Signal→Stable
  • Strong Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Technical Breakout Momentum→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Earnings in 3 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $21.70. At $22.31 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $21.70 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%.

One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns and manages a geographically diversified portfolio consisting primarily of industrial properties. As of December 31, 2025, OLP owns 103 properties, including a... Read more

$22.31+3.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 13 REIT - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.97%
IncomeYield8.07%(5y avg 7.45%)Payout113.92%
Entry $21.70(support + ATR (held))Stop $20.78Target $23.09(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst consensus$27.17+21.8%3 analysts
$23.09our TP
$22.31price
$27.17mean
$29

Wait for pullback to $21.70. At $22.31 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $21.70 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%)
Thin upside margin: 3.5%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)58.7
Mkt Cap$489M
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn33.9%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.91
Dividend8.07%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyindustrial81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 80.9% and 14.6% of our 2026 base rent is derived from industrial and retail tenants, respectively'
  • LOWPropertyretail15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 80.9% and 14.6% of our 2026 base rent is derived from industrial and retail tenants, respectively'
  • MEDIUMGeographicsix states52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 51.5% of our 2026 base rent is derived from properties located in six states — South Carolina (12.8%), Pennsylvania (10.8%), New York (8.5%), Texas (7.1%), Iowa (6.6%) and Alabama (5.7%)'
  • LOWTenantsix tenants22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 21.7% of our 2026 base rent is derived from six tenants.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
5.2
Macd
7.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.42Resistance $22.99

Price Targets

$21
$22
$23
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $21.70. At $22.31 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $21.70 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $23.09 (+3.5%), stop $20.78 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the OLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.09 (+3.5% upside). Target $23.09 (+3.5%), stop $20.78 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $20.78.

What are the risks of investing in OLP?

Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial (80.9%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is OLP overvalued or undervalued?

One Liberty Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 58.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OLP?

7 analysts cover OLP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $27.

What does One Liberty Properties, Inc. do?One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns...

One Liberty Properties, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. OLP acquires, owns and manages a geographically diversified portfolio consisting primarily of industrial properties. As of December 31, 2025, OLP owns 103 properties, including a property owned by a consolidated joint venture. The 103 properties are in 30 states. One Liberty Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Great Neck, United States.

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