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ITRNIturan Location and Control LtdSell6.4·$57.14-6.10%
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Ituran Location and Control Ltd (ITRN) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. At $57.14, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.3%.

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products in Israel, Brazil, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Telematics Services and Telematics Products. The... Read more

$57.14+9.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.22%
IncomeYield3.50%(5y avg 3.48%)Payout98.68%at-risk
Stop $55.09Target $62.48(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$73.50+28.6%2 analysts
$62.48our TP
$57.14price
$73.50mean
$80

Sell if holding. At $57.14, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.3%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta0.79
Dividend3.50%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.7
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.79Resistance $67.17

Price Targets

$55
$62
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITRN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $57.14, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.09. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.48 (+9.3% upside). Prior stop was $55.09. Stop-loss: $55.09.

What are the risks of investing in ITRN?

Thin upside margin: 9.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is ITRN overvalued or undervalued?

Ituran Location and Control Ltd trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ITRN?

8 analysts cover ITRN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Ituran Location and Control Ltd do?Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and...

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products in Israel, Brazil, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Telematics Services and Telematics Products. The Telematics services segment offers stolen vehicle recovery and tracking services, which enable it to locate, track, and recover stolen vehicles; fleet management services that enable corporate and individual customers to track and manage their vehicles in real time; and locator services that allow customers to protect valuable merchandise and equipment. This segment also delivers on-demand navigation guidance, information, and assistance, including the provision of traffic reports and directions, as well as information on the location of gas stations, car repair shops, post offices, hospitals, and other facilities; and provides Connected Car, a service platform that includes a back-office application, a telematics device installed in the vehicle, mobile apps for IOS and Android users, and interface using the car infotainment screen, as well as usage based insurance and auto financing services. It serves insurance companies and agents, car manufacturers, dealers and importers, cooperative sales channels, private fleet subscribers, and finance institutions. The Telematics Products segment offers a system for automatic vehicle location was based on terrestrial network triangulation technology and GPS/GPRS; Control Center, a center consisting of software used to collect data from various base sites, conduct location calculations, and transmit location data to various customers and law enforcement agencies; GPS/GPRS, a navigation and tracking devices installed in vehicles; and SMART, a portable transmitter installed in vehicles that sends a signal to the base site enabling the location of vehicles, equipment, or an individual. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Azor, Israel.

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