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ITRNIturan Location and Control LtdBuy Now7.3·$51.30-0.19%
Buy NowModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ituran is a high-quality, reasonably valued business currently facing a momentum headwind and a failed risk/reward gate, with a yield-trap warning on its dividend adding to the case for trimming rather than adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Peg ValuationStable
  • High Quality Excellent RoeStable
  • Thin Asymmetry Gate FailureStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Ituran Location and Control Ltd (ITRN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy NowValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Buy now at $51.30. A.R:R 4.4:1 at $51.30 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $63.32 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$12 per share to target. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products in Israel, Brazil, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Telematics Services and Telematics Products. The... Read more

$51.30+23.4% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.13%
IncomeYield3.92%(5y avg 3.64%)Payout92.88%at-risk
Entry $51.30(at market)Stop $48.58Target $63.32(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$74.50+45.2%2 analysts
$63.32our TP
$51.30price
$74.50mean
$80

Buy now at $51.30. A.R:R 4.4:1 at $51.30 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $63.32 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$12 per share to target. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. (held at prior verdict — engine reading is near the momentum/RSI threshold; will commit on clearer signal). Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202668d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn16.3%
ROE30.2%
Rev Growth20.7%
Beta0.81
Dividend3.92%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV47%normal
Max Pain$45-12.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.86Resistance $57.38

Price Targets

$49
$51
$63
A.Upside+23.4%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2.4%
Max %4.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: Technology sector blocked for BUY_NOW (quality 8.3 < 8.5)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITRN stock a buy right now?

Buy now at $51.30. A.R:R 4.4:1 at $51.30 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $63.32 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$12 per share to target. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. (held at prior verdict — engine reading is near the momentum/RSI threshold; will commit on clearer signal). Target $63.32 (+23.4%), stop $48.58 (−5.6%), A.R:R 4.4:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.32 (+23.4% upside). Target $63.32 (+23.4%), stop $48.58 (−5.6%), A.R:R 4.4:1. Stop-loss: $48.58.

What are the risks of investing in ITRN?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ITRN overvalued or undervalued?

Ituran Location and Control Ltd trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Strong Buy.

What do analysts say about ITRN?

8 analysts cover ITRN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Ituran Location and Control Ltd do?Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and...

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products in Israel, Brazil, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Telematics Services and Telematics Products. The Telematics services segment offers stolen vehicle recovery and tracking services, which enable it to locate, track, and recover stolen vehicles; fleet management services that enable corporate and individual customers to track and manage their vehicles in real time; and locator services that allow customers to protect valuable merchandise and equipment. This segment also delivers on-demand navigation guidance, information, and assistance, including the provision of traffic reports and directions, as well as information on the location of gas stations, car repair shops, post offices, hospitals, and other facilities; and provides Connected Car, a service platform that includes a back-office application, a telematics device installed in the vehicle, mobile apps for IOS and Android users, and interface using the car infotainment screen, as well as usage based insurance and auto financing services. It serves insurance companies and agents, car manufacturers, dealers and importers, cooperative sales channels, private fleet subscribers, and finance institutions. The Telematics Products segment offers a system for automatic vehicle location was based on terrestrial network triangulation technology and GPS/GPRS; Control Center, a center consisting of software used to collect data from various base sites, conduct location calculations, and transmit location data to various customers and law enforcement agencies; GPS/GPRS, a navigation and tracking devices installed in vehicles; and SMART, a portable transmitter installed in vehicles that sends a signal to the base site enabling the location of vehicles, equipment, or an individual. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Azor, Israel.

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