Gartner screens compellingly cheap on a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 9.3x with a PEG of 0.58 and converts cash at 144% of net income, but revenue is declining and the Rule of 40 stands at only 15 — and the stock is in a full falling-knife setup with a death cross, price below all moving averages, and a failed momentum gate — leaving the valuation case dependent on a trend reversal that has not yet begun.
Thesis pillars
- Declining Revenue Rule Of 40 Failure→Stable
- Subscription Concentration Revenue Cliff↓Deteriorating
- Attractive Valuation Strong Cash Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Gartner, Inc. (IT) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $181.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Gartner delivers research, advisory, and consulting services to over 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries through three segments: Business and Technology Insights, Conferences, and Consulting. Subscription products accounted for approximately 78% of 2025 revenues;... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $181.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.
About Gartner, Inc.
About Gartner, Inc.
Gartner's subscription-based Business and Technology Insights segment generated approximately 78% of 2025 total revenues, with Consulting contributing roughly 9% and Conferences the remainder, across more than 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries. Experts logged more than 510,000 direct client interactions in 2025; 53 in-person conferences drew more than 83,000 attendees including 12 Symposium/Xpo events. Gartner employed 20,244 people globally at December 31, 2025, with more than 2,400 business and technology experts located in more than 30 countries.
Gartner earns subscription revenue through Insights contracts typically structured as 12-month or longer commitments, with 77% of contracts multi-year at December 31, 2025 and a client retention rate of 85% in 2025 (84% in 2024). Within Insights, Global Technology Sales (GTS) targets technology users and providers while Global Business Sales (GBS) serves HR, supply chain, finance, and marketing leaders. Consulting engagements are project-based and non-recurring, and contract-optimization sub-practice revenue fluctuates significantly period to period. Conferences are event-driven and exposed to macroeconomic disruptions; the company's conference insurance explicitly excludes cancellations due to communicable diseases. In August 2025, Gartner launched AskGartner, a tool giving subscription clients faster access to research content. On February 5, 2026, the company completed the sale of Digital Markets for approximately $110.0 million.
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Gartner's Insights subscription model faces a structural challenge from AI chatbots and large language models that may provide substantive answers directly to users, potentially reducing the need to visit Gartner portals. The 10-K acknowledges that search engines and LLMs update algorithms in ways that may reduce traffic to Gartner websites, and that chatbots may draw on Gartner content without directing users to the site. A $150.0 million goodwill impairment was recognized in the Digital Markets reporting unit during 2025, ahead of the February 2026 divestiture. Client retention of 85% in 2025 provides a near-term floor, but multi-year contracts subject to renewal and the competitive pressure of AI-generated content introduce ongoing execution risk.
See also: Technology · Information Technology Services
From Gartner, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Gartner, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Indian shares buck AI carnage in Asia as IT stocks lead gains - Reuters — Reuters positive
- NEWS Why Gartner Stock Is Climbing Higher Today - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool positive
- NEWS Why Gartner Stock Is Climbing Higher Today - fool.com — fool.com positive
- NEWS Freshworks Named a Leader in the 2026 Gartner Magic Quadrant for IT Service Management Platforms - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS GARTNER, INC. (NYSE: IT) SHAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION ALERT: - globenewswire.com — globenewswire.com negative
Generated 2026-08-15T09:37:16Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductsubscription-based insights products78%10-K Item 1A: 'subscription-based insights products and services ... constituted approximately 78% and 77% of total revenues from our operations for 2025 and 2024, respectively'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $181.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $190.64 (+5.3%), stop $168.41 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $190.64 (-10.8% upside). Target $190.64 (+5.3%), stop $168.41 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $168.41.
Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.
Gartner, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
25 analysts cover IT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $186.
What does Gartner, Inc. do?Gartner delivers research, advisory, and consulting services to over 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries...
Gartner delivers research, advisory, and consulting services to over 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries through three segments: Business and Technology Insights, Conferences, and Consulting. Subscription products accounted for approximately 78% of 2025 revenues; 77% of contracts were multi-year at December 31, 2025, with an 85% client retention rate.