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ITGartner, Inc.Sell6.0·$204.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Gartner is a high-quality research and advisory business (ROE 114%, 136% FCF/NI, four straight earnings beats), but the price is far above the analyst target, revenue is slightly declining and earnings land in 2 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Slowing Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Subscription Product Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Exceptional Returns Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gartner, Inc. (IT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $204.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%).

Gartner delivers research, advisory, and consulting services to over 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries through three segments: Business and Technology Insights, Conferences, and Consulting. Subscription products accounted for approximately 78% of 2025 revenues;... Read more

$204.22-17.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#12 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.16%
Stop $189.92Analyst target $168.58(reached)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst consensus$193.77-5.1%13 analysts with price targets
$204.22price
$193.77mean
$150
$235

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $204.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Gartner, Inc.

About Gartner, Inc.

Gartner's subscription-based Business and Technology Insights segment generated approximately 78% of 2025 total revenues, with Consulting contributing roughly 9% and Conferences the remainder, across more than 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries. Experts logged more than 510,000 direct client interactions in 2025; 53 in-person conferences drew more than 83,000 attendees including 12 Symposium/Xpo events. Gartner employed 20,244 people globally at December 31, 2025, with more than 2,400 business and technology experts located in more than 30 countries.

Gartner earns subscription revenue through Insights contracts typically structured as 12-month or longer commitments, with 77% of contracts multi-year at December 31, 2025 and a client retention rate of 85% in 2025 (84% in 2024). Within Insights, Global Technology Sales (GTS) targets technology users and providers while Global Business Sales (GBS) serves HR, supply chain, finance, and marketing leaders. Consulting engagements are project-based and non-recurring, and contract-optimization sub-practice revenue fluctuates significantly period to period. Conferences are event-driven and exposed to macroeconomic disruptions; the company's conference insurance explicitly excludes cancellations due to communicable diseases. In August 2025, Gartner launched AskGartner, a tool giving subscription clients faster access to research content. On February 5, 2026, the company completed the sale of Digital Markets for approximately $110.0 million.

Show full overview

Gartner's Insights subscription model faces a structural challenge from AI chatbots and large language models that may provide substantive answers directly to users, potentially reducing the need to visit Gartner portals. The 10-K acknowledges that search engines and LLMs update algorithms in ways that may reduce traffic to Gartner websites, and that chatbots may draw on Gartner content without directing users to the site. A $150.0 million goodwill impairment was recognized in the Digital Markets reporting unit during 2025, ahead of the February 2026 divestiture. Client retention of 85% in 2025 provides a near-term floor, but multi-year contracts subject to renewal and the competitive pressure of AI-generated content introduce ongoing execution risk.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From Gartner, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Gartner, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$12.9B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE113.6%
Rev Growth-0.6%
Beta0.91
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$120-41.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductsubscription-based insights products78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'subscription-based insights products and services ... constituted approximately 78% and 77% of total revenues from our operations for 2025 and 2024, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $185.00Resistance $237.54

Price Targets

A.Upside-17.5%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $204.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $189.92. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IT stock price target?

Analyst target $168.58 reached (−17.5% from $204.22); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $189.92. Stop-loss: $189.92.

What are the risks of investing in IT?

Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based insights products (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is IT overvalued or undervalued?

Gartner, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IT?

24 analysts rate IT, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $194.

What does Gartner, Inc. do?Gartner delivers research, advisory, and consulting services to over 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries...

Gartner delivers research, advisory, and consulting services to over 13,000 enterprises in approximately 90 countries through three segments: Business and Technology Insights, Conferences, and Consulting. Subscription products accounted for approximately 78% of 2025 revenues; 77% of contracts were multi-year at December 31, 2025, with an 85% client retention rate.

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