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IQVIQVIA Holdings, Inc.Sell5.0·$236.66-2.01%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

IQVIA offers an attractively priced franchise with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak and exceptional free cash flow conversion, but a confirmed technical breakdown and negative price momentum mean fundamental quality and chart reality are in direct conflict, warranting patience before adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • Superior Free Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

IQVIA Holdings, Inc. (IQV) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Sell if holding. At $236.66, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.6%.

IQVIA provides clinical research services, commercial insights, and healthcare intelligence to life sciences companies through three business segments — Technology & Analytics Solutions, Research & Development Solutions, and Contract Sales & Medical Solutions — serving over... Read more

$236.66+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#22 of 32 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.41%
Stop $220.09Target $247.65(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$275.17+16.3%18 analysts
$247.65our TP
$236.66price
$275.17mean
$300

Sell if holding. At $236.66, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.0
P/E (Fwd)16.7
Mkt Cap$39.8B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.62bearish
IV48%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the 2026 Incentive and Stock Award Plan at the April 23, 2026 Annual Meeting. Plan replaces the 2017 Incentive and Stock Award Plan; authorizes stock options, RSUs, restricted stock awards, and performance-based RSUs based on Committee-selected metrics.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.9
Revenue Growth
4.7
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $197.60Resistance $251.36

Price Targets

$220
$248
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IQV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $236.66, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $220.09. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the IQV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $247.65 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $220.09. Stop-loss: $220.09.

What are the risks of investing in IQV?

Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is IQV overvalued or undervalued?

IQVIA Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.0 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IQV?

28 analysts cover IQV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $275.

What does IQVIA Holdings, Inc. do?IQVIA provides clinical research services, commercial insights, and healthcare intelligence to life sciences companies...

IQVIA provides clinical research services, commercial insights, and healthcare intelligence to life sciences companies through three business segments — Technology & Analytics Solutions, Research & Development Solutions, and Contract Sales & Medical Solutions — serving over 10,000 clients in more than 100 countries, including nearly all top 100 global pharmaceutical companies, with approximately 93,000 employees worldwide.

Related stocks: A (Agilent Technologies, Inc.) · WAT (Waters Corporation) · DHR (Danaher Corporation) · SHC (Sotera Health Company) · MEDP (Medpace Holdings, Inc.)
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